Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Moon Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. (000811.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.91 - $37.32$22.39
Multi-Stage$10.55 - $11.51$11.02
Blended Fair Value$16.71
Current Price$13.50
Upside23.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.67%1.47%0.120.210.220.100.100.070.100.070.070.10
YoY Growth---42.35%-2.54%120.98%1.47%37.82%-33.29%51.49%-5.90%-29.04%-1.28%
Dividend Yield--1.28%2.28%2.18%1.14%1.67%1.46%1.40%1.26%0.84%1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)582.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)215.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)366.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)116.4472.7843.67
Cash Retained (M)366.77366.77366.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-116.44-72.78-43.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)250.33293.99323.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)871.82871.82871.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.91$22.39$37.32
Upside / Downside10.48%65.87%176.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)582.21620.06660.36703.28749.00797.68821.61
Payout Ratio37.00%47.60%58.20%68.80%79.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)215.44295.17384.35483.87594.71717.91759.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)267.57270.10272.64
Year 2 PV (M)315.83321.85327.92
Year 3 PV (M)360.43370.78381.32
Year 4 PV (M)401.57417.02432.90
Year 5 PV (M)439.44460.66482.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,408.577,766.418,137.94
Equity Value (M)9,193.429,606.8210,035.43
Shares Outstanding (M)871.82871.82871.82
Fair Value$10.55$11.02$11.51
Upside / Downside-21.89%-18.38%-14.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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