Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Zhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd. (000532.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.67 - $20.85$14.70
Multi-Stage$10.25 - $11.23$10.73
Blended Fair Value$12.72
Current Price$14.71
Upside-13.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.99%5.63%0.120.150.180.190.200.310.170.220.080.07
YoY Growth---19.91%-15.08%-9.07%-2.36%-34.72%76.79%-20.20%165.98%8.96%7.25%
Dividend Yield--0.77%1.34%1.56%1.63%1.89%3.08%1.38%1.50%0.47%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)223.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)190.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.7727.9816.79
Cash Retained (M)190.84190.84190.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.77-27.98-16.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)146.07162.86174.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)344.63344.63344.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.470.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.470.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Fair Value$10.67$14.70$20.85
Upside / Downside-27.43%-0.05%41.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)223.83234.19245.03256.36268.23280.64289.06
Payout Ratio14.74%29.79%44.84%59.90%74.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.0069.77109.88153.55201.03252.58267.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Year 1 PV (M)63.5964.2064.82
Year 2 PV (M)91.2793.0494.83
Year 3 PV (M)116.25119.65123.11
Year 4 PV (M)138.71144.15149.74
Year 5 PV (M)158.84166.65174.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,964.793,110.623,262.15
Equity Value (M)3,533.463,698.323,869.41
Shares Outstanding (M)344.63344.63344.63
Fair Value$10.25$10.73$11.23
Upside / Downside-30.30%-27.05%-23.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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