Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Dong-E-E-Jiao Co.,Ltd. (000423.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$440.94 - $519.50$486.84
Multi-Stage$121.97 - $133.64$127.70
Blended Fair Value$307.27
Current Price$47.40
Upside548.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.36%15.12%2.931.180.650.310.231.110.970.950.820.82
YoY Growth--148.20%80.90%112.41%33.96%-79.40%15.22%1.21%16.11%0.85%13.75%
Dividend Yield--4.85%1.87%1.23%0.91%0.61%4.32%1.96%1.55%1.25%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,678.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)817.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)860.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)335.77209.85125.91
Cash Retained (M)860.98860.98860.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-335.77-209.85-125.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.22651.13735.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)642.70642.70642.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.821.011.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.821.011.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.092.292.42
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$440.94$486.84$519.50
Upside / Downside830.24%927.10%995.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,678.831,787.961,904.182,027.952,159.762,300.152,369.15
Payout Ratio48.72%56.97%65.23%73.49%81.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)817.851,018.641,242.081,490.261,765.462,070.132,191.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)958.80967.89976.98
Year 2 PV (M)1,100.441,121.401,142.56
Year 3 PV (M)1,242.761,278.431,314.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,385.771,439.061,493.88
Year 5 PV (M)1,529.471,603.341,680.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)72,174.8275,660.8979,280.38
Equity Value (M)78,392.0582,071.0185,888.62
Shares Outstanding (M)642.70642.70642.70
Fair Value$121.97$127.70$133.64
Upside / Downside157.33%169.41%181.94%

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