Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.60 - $43.90$34.28
Multi-Stage$21.90 - $23.85$22.86
Blended Fair Value$28.57
Current Price$89.80
Upside-68.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.51%13.34%0.610.580.520.480.370.290.290.270.170.15
YoY Growth--5.26%11.81%8.73%30.40%28.64%-2.20%9.01%54.92%14.75%-14.02%
Dividend Yield--0.79%1.22%1.08%1.01%0.96%1.04%1.23%1.32%0.83%0.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,001.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)292.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)709.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)200.32125.2075.12
Cash Retained (M)709.50709.50709.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-200.32-125.20-75.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)509.18584.30634.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)454.56454.56454.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.291.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.291.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.761.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate12.49%12.49%12.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.60$34.28$43.90
Upside / Downside-70.38%-61.83%-51.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,001.621,066.721,136.061,209.901,288.551,372.301,413.47
Payout Ratio29.16%41.33%53.50%65.67%77.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)292.11440.89607.77794.491,002.911,235.071,307.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.49%12.49%12.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)388.25391.93395.61
Year 2 PV (M)471.32480.30489.36
Year 3 PV (M)542.56558.13574.00
Year 4 PV (M)603.12626.32650.17
Year 5 PV (M)654.07685.66718.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,295.487,647.858,013.71
Equity Value (M)9,954.8010,390.1910,841.32
Shares Outstanding (M)454.56454.56454.56
Fair Value$21.90$22.86$23.85
Upside / Downside-75.61%-74.55%-73.44%

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