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Westamerica Bancorporation (WABC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.67 - $107.87$81.38
Multi-Stage$67.17 - $73.45$70.25
Blended Fair Value$75.81
Current Price$49.99
Upside51.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.34%1.68%1.801.761.731.691.691.681.631.581.531.50
YoY Growth--2.18%1.71%1.98%0.04%0.78%3.07%3.23%3.44%2.04%-1.60%
Dividend Yield--3.55%3.67%3.90%2.80%2.70%2.86%2.60%2.72%2.74%3.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.0115.019.00
Cash Retained (M)72.8572.8572.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.01-15.01-9.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.8457.8463.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1426.1426.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.872.212.44
LTM Dividend per Share1.811.811.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.872.212.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.674.024.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Fair Value$61.67$81.38$107.87
Upside / Downside23.37%62.79%115.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.07124.81129.73134.85140.17145.71150.08
Payout Ratio39.32%49.46%59.59%69.73%79.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.2261.7377.3194.03111.95131.14138.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)56.0556.5957.13
Year 2 PV (M)63.7364.9866.23
Year 3 PV (M)70.3872.4574.56
Year 4 PV (M)76.0879.0882.16
Year 5 PV (M)80.9184.9289.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,408.771,478.531,551.04
Equity Value (M)1,755.921,836.551,920.21
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1426.1426.14
Fair Value$67.17$70.25$73.45
Upside / Downside34.36%40.53%46.93%

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