Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Pan-United Corporation Ltd (P52.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.68 - $1.10$0.87
Multi-Stage$1.42 - $1.56$1.49
Blended Fair Value$1.18
Current Price$0.86
Upside37.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.87%-3.09%0.020.020.020.010.010.010.010.030.030.03
YoY Growth--38.69%12.23%22.84%18.25%-15.33%62.51%-70.36%-9.88%-11.76%-0.37%
Dividend Yield--3.86%4.04%4.10%3.89%3.87%3.61%3.20%7.02%4.71%5.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.585.363.22
Cash Retained (M)21.9621.9621.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.58-5.36-3.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.3816.6018.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)700.36700.36700.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.88%0.12%1.12%
Fair Value$0.68$0.87$1.10
Upside / Downside-21.04%1.32%29.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.9042.9543.0143.0643.1143.1644.46
Payout Ratio48.81%57.05%65.28%73.52%81.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.9424.5028.0831.6635.2538.8541.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.88%0.12%1.12%
Year 1 PV (M)22.8223.0523.28
Year 2 PV (M)24.3524.8425.34
Year 3 PV (M)25.5626.3427.14
Year 4 PV (M)26.5027.5928.71
Year 5 PV (M)27.2028.6030.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)868.26912.95959.46
Equity Value (M)994.691,043.371,093.98
Shares Outstanding (M)700.36700.36700.36
Fair Value$1.42$1.49$1.56
Upside / Downside66.11%74.24%82.69%

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