Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.73 - $232.25$141.29
Multi-Stage$71.99 - $78.51$75.19
Blended Fair Value$108.24
Current Price$80.94
Upside33.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.23%13.09%2.542.452.282.111.941.791.641.491.241.07
YoY Growth--3.72%7.57%8.10%8.34%8.49%9.14%9.83%20.14%16.53%43.78%
Dividend Yield--3.36%3.85%2.87%2.39%2.53%2.14%1.86%2.26%1.84%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)254.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)157.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.9931.8719.12
Cash Retained (M)97.0497.0497.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.99-31.87-19.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.0665.1877.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.8458.8458.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.781.111.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.682.682.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.781.111.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.473.794.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.23%6.23%7.23%
Fair Value$94.73$141.29$232.25
Upside / Downside17.04%74.56%186.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)254.94270.82287.69305.62324.65344.88355.22
Payout Ratio61.93%67.55%73.16%78.77%84.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)157.90182.93210.48240.75273.97310.39328.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.23%6.23%7.23%
Year 1 PV (M)166.13167.71169.29
Year 2 PV (M)173.58176.90180.24
Year 3 PV (M)180.30185.49190.78
Year 4 PV (M)186.33193.52200.91
Year 5 PV (M)191.71200.99210.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,337.933,499.583,667.43
Equity Value (M)4,235.994,424.184,619.27
Shares Outstanding (M)58.8458.8458.84
Fair Value$71.99$75.19$78.51
Upside / Downside-11.05%-7.10%-3.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
VKQInvesco Municipal Trust8.62%$0.8469.07%
ARCCAres Capital Corporation8.61%$1.7691.56%
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.8.52%$0.5767.26%
C-PJCitigroup Inc.8.49%$2.1326.99%
RVTRoyce Value Trust Inc.8.42%$1.3639.40%
OGNOrganon & Co.8.37%$0.6131.54%
MITTAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.8.12%$0.7043.47%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.8.06%$1.3978.70%
NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.8.02%$1.7794.64%
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P.8.00%$1.4690.71%
TSLXSixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.8.00%$1.7385.26%
ACCOACCO Brands Corporation7.90%$0.2967.00%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.7.90%$1.8197.75%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.7.82%$4.2388.03%
UNMAUnum Group 6.250% JR NT587.69%$1.7933.52%
WRB-PHW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125%7.68%$1.2726.69%
JHSJohn Hancock Income Securities Trust7.65%$0.8994.90%
NIDNuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund7.59%$1.0284.59%
HWCPZHancock Whitney Corporation - 67.58%$1.7731.35%
WRB-PGW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25%7.54%$1.2726.69%
NMTNuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund7.48%$0.8580.62%
LOANManhattan Bridge Capital, Inc.7.45%$0.3574.53%
OPALOPAL Fuels Inc.7.43%$0.1846.94%
ZIONLZions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.97.42%$1.8632.04%
GMTAGATX Corporation SR NT 20667.41%$1.8621.29%
IIMInvesco Value Municipal Income Trust7.41%$0.9264.33%
JMMNuveen Multi-Market Income Fund7.28%$0.4461.06%
BKEThe Buckle, Inc.7.26%$3.9196.21%
MHIPioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc.7.19%$0.6413.70%
ORIOld Republic International Corporation7.19%$3.1193.13%
PMFPIMCO Municipal Income Fund7.07%$0.5992.59%
RYNRayonier Inc.7.04%$1.5230.67%
DRQDril-Quip, Inc.7.02%$1.0850.37%
TRINITrinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 20297.02%$1.7883.48%
C-PNCitigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS7.01%$2.1326.99%
VPVInvesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust6.98%$0.7360.22%
VCVInvesco California Value Municipal Income Trust6.97%$0.7860.58%
EOTEaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust6.96%$1.1869.84%
FLATXFidelity Latin America Fund6.92%$1.1539.63%
EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc.6.91%$0.2592.67%
NOMNuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund6.91%$0.8278.81%
UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.6.90%$0.9996.30%
TBCAT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d6.89%$1.7255.65%
GTNGray Media, Inc.6.87%$0.3334.04%
HEPHolly Energy Partners, L.P.6.86%$1.4074.08%
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.6.85%$9.2396.49%
BANFPBFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20%6.85%$1.8025.72%
CFG-PDCitizens Financial Group, Inc.6.83%$1.7143.60%
RCIIRent-A-Center, Inc.6.81%$1.8279.98%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.6.81%$1.2778.56%