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Land and Houses Freehold and Leasehold Property Fund (LHPF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.60 - $2.03$1.83
Multi-Stage$4.43 - $4.97$4.69
Blended Fair Value$3.26
Current Price$5.15
Upside-36.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.400.250.200.260.520.520.530.750.70
YoY Growth---100.00%60.00%25.00%-24.53%-49.22%-0.60%-0.94%-29.40%7.30%0.05%
Dividend Yield--0.00%6.96%3.82%3.33%5.05%9.00%6.36%6.06%8.34%7.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)251.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)178.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.2831.4318.86
Cash Retained (M)178.65178.65178.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.28-31.43-18.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)128.37147.22159.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)330.00330.00330.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.610.670.70
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate-22.48%-21.48%-20.48%
Fair Value$1.60$1.83$2.03
Upside / Downside-69.01%-64.46%-60.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)251.41197.40154.99121.6995.5475.0277.27
Payout Ratio28.94%41.15%53.37%65.58%77.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.7781.2482.7179.8074.3267.5171.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate-22.48%-21.48%-20.48%
Year 1 PV (M)74.8775.8476.81
Year 2 PV (M)70.2672.0973.93
Year 3 PV (M)62.4864.9367.44
Year 4 PV (M)53.6456.4659.39
Year 5 PV (M)44.9147.8851.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,155.231,231.701,312.16
Equity Value (M)1,461.391,548.891,640.74
Shares Outstanding (M)330.00330.00330.00
Fair Value$4.43$4.69$4.97
Upside / Downside-14.01%-8.86%-3.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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