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The Hackett Group, Inc. (HCKT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.79 - $5.91$4.77
Multi-Stage$5.44 - $5.94$5.69
Blended Fair Value$5.23
Current Price$19.29
Upside-72.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.59%13.19%0.430.420.370.460.530.400.360.310.250.11
YoY Growth--1.17%14.71%-19.00%-13.74%33.41%11.43%15.89%21.04%133.55%-12.57%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.74%2.00%1.93%3.14%3.24%2.25%1.91%1.30%0.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.181.360.82
Cash Retained (M)1.531.531.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.18-1.36-0.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.650.170.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.2728.2728.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$3.79$4.77$5.91
Upside / Downside-80.35%-75.29%-69.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.9211.1211.3211.5411.7511.9712.33
Payout Ratio85.97%86.78%87.58%88.39%89.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.389.659.9210.2010.4810.7711.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)8.768.848.93
Year 2 PV (M)8.178.348.50
Year 3 PV (M)7.637.868.09
Year 4 PV (M)7.127.407.70
Year 5 PV (M)6.646.987.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)115.60121.45127.53
Equity Value (M)153.92160.86168.07
Shares Outstanding (M)28.2728.2728.27
Fair Value$5.44$5.69$5.94
Upside / Downside-71.78%-70.50%-69.18%

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