Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Guess', Inc. (GES)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.98 - $19.73$16.15
Multi-Stage$19.14 - $20.94$20.03
Blended Fair Value$18.09
Current Price$16.98
Upside6.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.79%-1.80%1.151.130.930.660.280.761.321.371.371.38
YoY Growth--2.26%21.16%41.03%136.28%-63.09%-42.75%-3.24%-0.58%-0.46%-0.19%
Dividend Yield--10.15%4.22%4.94%2.94%1.03%9.33%6.48%5.87%12.32%7.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0710.056.03
Cash Retained (M)30.9330.9330.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.07-10.05-6.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.8520.8824.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)55.6655.6655.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.34
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Fair Value$12.98$16.15$19.73
Upside / Downside-23.57%-4.91%16.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.3681.3082.2483.2084.1785.1587.71
Payout Ratio61.52%67.21%72.91%78.61%84.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.4454.6459.9765.4070.9676.6481.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Year 1 PV (M)49.6050.0950.59
Year 2 PV (M)49.4150.4051.40
Year 3 PV (M)48.9150.3951.90
Year 4 PV (M)48.1750.1252.13
Year 5 PV (M)47.2249.6352.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)822.21864.08907.64
Equity Value (M)1,065.521,114.721,165.80
Shares Outstanding (M)55.6655.6655.66
Fair Value$19.14$20.03$20.94
Upside / Downside12.73%17.94%23.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
VKQInvesco Municipal Trust8.62%$0.8469.07%
ARCCAres Capital Corporation8.61%$1.7691.56%
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.8.52%$0.5767.26%
C-PJCitigroup Inc.8.49%$2.1326.99%
RVTRoyce Value Trust Inc.8.42%$1.3639.40%
OGNOrganon & Co.8.37%$0.6131.54%
MITTAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.8.12%$0.7043.47%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.8.06%$1.3978.70%
NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.8.02%$1.7794.64%
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P.8.00%$1.4690.71%
TSLXSixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.8.00%$1.7385.26%
ACCOACCO Brands Corporation7.90%$0.2967.00%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.7.90%$1.8197.75%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.7.82%$4.2388.03%
UNMAUnum Group 6.250% JR NT587.69%$1.7933.52%
WRB-PHW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125%7.68%$1.2726.69%
JHSJohn Hancock Income Securities Trust7.65%$0.8994.90%
NIDNuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund7.59%$1.0284.59%
HWCPZHancock Whitney Corporation - 67.58%$1.7731.35%
WRB-PGW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25%7.54%$1.2726.69%
NMTNuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund7.48%$0.8580.62%
LOANManhattan Bridge Capital, Inc.7.45%$0.3574.53%
OPALOPAL Fuels Inc.7.43%$0.1846.94%
ZIONLZions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.97.42%$1.8632.04%
GMTAGATX Corporation SR NT 20667.41%$1.8621.29%
IIMInvesco Value Municipal Income Trust7.41%$0.9264.33%
JMMNuveen Multi-Market Income Fund7.28%$0.4461.06%
BKEThe Buckle, Inc.7.26%$3.9196.21%
MHIPioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc.7.19%$0.6413.70%
ORIOld Republic International Corporation7.19%$3.1193.13%
PMFPIMCO Municipal Income Fund7.07%$0.5992.59%
RYNRayonier Inc.7.04%$1.5230.67%
DRQDril-Quip, Inc.7.02%$1.0850.37%
TRINITrinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 20297.02%$1.7883.48%
C-PNCitigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS7.01%$2.1326.99%
VPVInvesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust6.98%$0.7360.22%
VCVInvesco California Value Municipal Income Trust6.97%$0.7860.58%
EOTEaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust6.96%$1.1869.84%
FLATXFidelity Latin America Fund6.92%$1.1539.63%
EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc.6.91%$0.2592.67%
NOMNuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund6.91%$0.8278.81%
UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.6.90%$0.9996.30%
TBCAT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d6.89%$1.7255.65%
GTNGray Media, Inc.6.87%$0.3334.04%
HEPHolly Energy Partners, L.P.6.86%$1.4074.08%
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.6.85%$9.2396.49%
BANFPBFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20%6.85%$1.8025.72%
CFG-PDCitizens Financial Group, Inc.6.83%$1.7143.60%
RCIIRent-A-Center, Inc.6.81%$1.8279.98%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.6.81%$1.2778.56%