Definitive Analysis
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Doman Building Materials Group Ltd. (DBM.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.74 - $168.66$158.06
Multi-Stage$26.78 - $29.29$28.01
Blended Fair Value$93.03
Current Price$8.72
Upside966.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.32%11.75%0.560.560.560.490.480.500.500.410.320.21
YoY Growth--0.23%0.15%14.06%1.41%-3.42%0.03%20.49%30.25%54.00%12.01%
Dividend Yield--8.17%6.89%8.66%6.11%5.35%15.10%9.79%6.57%5.21%4.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.819.265.56
Cash Retained (M)25.1925.1925.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.81-9.26-5.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.3815.9319.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.3487.3487.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.180.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.180.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87.74$158.06$168.66
Upside / Downside906.23%1,712.56%1,834.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.0778.8984.0189.4795.29101.48104.53
Payout Ratio65.99%70.79%75.59%80.40%85.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.8855.8463.5171.9381.1891.3496.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.0352.5353.02
Year 2 PV (M)55.1456.1957.25
Year 3 PV (M)58.1959.8661.56
Year 4 PV (M)61.1963.5565.97
Year 5 PV (M)64.1567.2470.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,047.962,146.882,249.58
Equity Value (M)2,338.662,446.242,557.84
Shares Outstanding (M)87.3487.3487.34
Fair Value$26.78$28.01$29.29
Upside / Downside207.06%221.19%235.84%

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