Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2,746.22 - $4,589.45 | $3,557.16 |
| Multi-Stage | $5,541.45 - $6,093.43 | $5,812.09 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,684.62 | |
| Current Price | $4,700.00 | |
| Upside | -0.33% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -23.96% | -4.18% | 30.00 | 100.00 | 108.00 | 112.00 | 81.00 | 118.00 | 56.00 | 56.00 | 29.00 | 18.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -70.00% | -7.41% | -3.57% | 38.27% | -31.36% | 110.71% | 0.00% | 93.10% | 61.11% | -60.87% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.68% | 1.92% | 2.16% | 1.98% | 1.16% | 2.39% | 0.88% | 1.62% | 0.91% | 0.50% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,845,236.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,770,984.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,074,252.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 769,047.20 | 480,654.50 | 288,392.70 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,074,252.00 | 2,074,252.00 | 2,074,252.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -769,047.20 | -480,654.50 | -288,392.70 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,305,204.80 | 1,593,597.50 | 1,785,859.30 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 79.60 | 97.18 | 108.91 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 108.00 | 108.00 | 108.00 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 79.60 | 97.18 | 108.91 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 187.60 | 205.18 | 216.91 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | -0.49% | 0.51% | 1.51% |
| Fair Value | $2,746.22 | $3,557.16 | $4,589.45 |
| Upside / Downside | -41.57% | -24.32% | -2.35% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,845,236.00 | 3,864,871.36 | 3,884,606.99 | 3,904,443.40 | 3,924,381.09 | 3,944,420.60 | 4,062,753.22 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.06% | 54.85% | 63.63% | 72.42% | 81.21% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,770,984.00 | 2,119,698.75 | 2,471,928.67 | 2,827,700.59 | 3,187,041.49 | 3,549,978.54 | 3,758,046.73 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | -0.49% | 0.51% | 1.51% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,974,079.49 | 1,993,917.36 | 2,013,755.24 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,143,961.21 | 2,187,267.80 | 2,231,007.42 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,284,046.30 | 2,353,598.94 | 2,424,549.43 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,397,450.74 | 2,495,282.77 | 2,596,078.84 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,487,013.81 | 2,614,512.91 | 2,747,188.30 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 79,582,161.84 | 83,662,016.29 | 87,907,507.12 |
| Equity Value (M) | 90,868,713.38 | 95,306,596.08 | 99,920,086.35 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 | 16,398.00 |
| Fair Value | $5,541.45 | $5,812.09 | $6,093.43 |
| Upside / Downside | 17.90% | 23.66% | 29.65% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VKQ | Invesco Municipal Trust | 8.62% | $0.84 | 69.07% |
| ARCC | Ares Capital Corporation | 8.61% | $1.76 | 91.56% |
| TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | 8.52% | $0.57 | 67.26% |
| C-PJ | Citigroup Inc. | 8.49% | $2.13 | 26.99% |
| RVT | Royce Value Trust Inc. | 8.42% | $1.36 | 39.40% |
| OGN | Organon & Co. | 8.37% | $0.61 | 31.54% |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. | 8.12% | $0.70 | 43.47% |
| CAG | Conagra Brands, Inc. | 8.06% | $1.39 | 78.70% |
| NOG | Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 8.02% | $1.77 | 94.64% |
| PAA | Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. | 8.00% | $1.46 | 90.71% |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. | 8.00% | $1.73 | 85.26% |
| ACCO | ACCO Brands Corporation | 7.90% | $0.29 | 67.00% |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. | 7.90% | $1.81 | 97.75% |
| CQP | Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. | 7.82% | $4.23 | 88.03% |
| UNMA | Unum Group 6.250% JR NT58 | 7.69% | $1.79 | 33.52% |
| WRB-PH | W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125% | 7.68% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| JHS | John Hancock Income Securities Trust | 7.65% | $0.89 | 94.90% |
| NID | Nuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund | 7.59% | $1.02 | 84.59% |
| HWCPZ | Hancock Whitney Corporation - 6 | 7.58% | $1.77 | 31.35% |
| WRB-PG | W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25% | 7.54% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| NMT | Nuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund | 7.48% | $0.85 | 80.62% |
| LOAN | Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. | 7.45% | $0.35 | 74.53% |
| OPAL | OPAL Fuels Inc. | 7.43% | $0.18 | 46.94% |
| ZIONL | Zions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.9 | 7.42% | $1.86 | 32.04% |
| GMTA | GATX Corporation SR NT 2066 | 7.41% | $1.86 | 21.29% |
| IIM | Invesco Value Municipal Income Trust | 7.41% | $0.92 | 64.33% |
| JMM | Nuveen Multi-Market Income Fund | 7.28% | $0.44 | 61.06% |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | 7.26% | $3.91 | 96.21% |
| MHI | Pioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc. | 7.19% | $0.64 | 13.70% |
| ORI | Old Republic International Corporation | 7.19% | $3.11 | 93.13% |
| PMF | PIMCO Municipal Income Fund | 7.07% | $0.59 | 92.59% |
| RYN | Rayonier Inc. | 7.04% | $1.52 | 30.67% |
| DRQ | Dril-Quip, Inc. | 7.02% | $1.08 | 50.37% |
| TRINI | Trinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 2029 | 7.02% | $1.78 | 83.48% |
| C-PN | Citigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS | 7.01% | $2.13 | 26.99% |
| VPV | Invesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust | 6.98% | $0.73 | 60.22% |
| VCV | Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust | 6.97% | $0.78 | 60.58% |
| EOT | Eaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust | 6.96% | $1.18 | 69.84% |
| FLATX | Fidelity Latin America Fund | 6.92% | $1.15 | 39.63% |
| EGY | VAALCO Energy, Inc. | 6.91% | $0.25 | 92.67% |
| NOM | Nuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund | 6.91% | $0.82 | 78.81% |
| UBCP | United Bancorp, Inc. | 6.90% | $0.99 | 96.30% |
| TBC | AT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d | 6.89% | $1.72 | 55.65% |
| GTN | Gray Media, Inc. | 6.87% | $0.33 | 34.04% |
| HEP | Holly Energy Partners, L.P. | 6.86% | $1.40 | 74.08% |
| AFG | American Financial Group, Inc. | 6.85% | $9.23 | 96.49% |
| BANFP | BFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20% | 6.85% | $1.80 | 25.72% |
| CFG-PD | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | 6.83% | $1.71 | 43.60% |
| RCII | Rent-A-Center, Inc. | 6.81% | $1.82 | 79.98% |
| SPH | Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. | 6.81% | $1.27 | 78.56% |