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Chase Corporation (CCF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.23 - $130.98$89.01
Multi-Stage$55.92 - $61.02$58.42
Blended Fair Value$73.72
Current Price$126.50
Upside-41.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS4.85%10.11%1.011.000.800.800.800.790.690.630.580.43
YoY Growth--0.42%25.18%0.24%0.23%0.33%14.77%8.88%9.53%33.81%12.88%
Dividend Yield--0.79%1.05%0.81%0.75%0.68%0.70%0.55%0.79%1.30%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.644.152.49
Cash Retained (M)14.1814.1814.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.64-4.15-2.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.5510.0311.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.459.459.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.801.061.24
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.801.061.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.813.073.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.46%5.46%6.46%
Fair Value$63.23$89.01$130.98
Upside / Downside-50.01%-29.64%3.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.1834.9936.9038.9241.0443.2844.58
Payout Ratio57.26%63.81%70.36%76.90%83.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.0022.3325.9629.9334.2538.9541.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.46%5.46%6.46%
Year 1 PV (M)20.2720.4720.66
Year 2 PV (M)21.4021.8122.23
Year 3 PV (M)22.4023.0523.71
Year 4 PV (M)23.2724.1825.11
Year 5 PV (M)24.0325.2026.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)417.19437.55458.69
Equity Value (M)528.57552.26576.82
Shares Outstanding (M)9.459.459.45
Fair Value$55.92$58.42$61.02
Upside / Downside-55.80%-53.82%-51.76%

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