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Banc of California, Inc. (BANC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.94 - $79.93$45.87
Multi-Stage$20.65 - $22.55$21.58
Blended Fair Value$33.73
Current Price$16.55
Upside103.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.11%20.40%0.420.300.730.730.070.100.200.160.130.10
YoY Growth--39.72%-59.35%0.68%908.21%-24.75%-51.89%27.30%17.68%28.84%58.92%
Dividend Yield--2.93%2.04%5.85%3.76%0.40%1.20%1.42%0.81%0.64%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)140.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7026.0615.64
Cash Retained (M)140.87140.87140.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.70-26.06-15.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.17114.80125.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)164.17164.17164.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.700.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.700.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29.94$45.87$79.93
Upside / Downside80.92%177.18%382.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.50222.05236.49251.86268.23285.66294.23
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.6397.59131.16168.68210.53257.10272.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)88.6389.4790.31
Year 2 PV (M)108.17110.24112.31
Year 3 PV (M)126.34129.97133.66
Year 4 PV (M)143.20148.71154.37
Year 5 PV (M)158.81166.48174.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,765.162,898.723,037.39
Equity Value (M)3,390.323,543.583,702.49
Shares Outstanding (M)164.17164.17164.17
Fair Value$20.65$21.58$22.55
Upside / Downside24.78%30.42%36.27%

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