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Vente-Unique.com S.A. (ALVU.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.50 - $345.23$239.87
Multi-Stage$42.59 - $46.57$44.54
Blended Fair Value$142.21
Current Price$12.00
Upside1,085.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.34%0.00%0.410.490.000.270.150.140.300.770.220.00
YoY Growth---15.88%0.00%-100.00%74.77%6.60%-52.53%-60.73%247.27%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.67%4.43%0.00%1.71%2.12%4.06%4.54%7.46%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.432.141.29
Cash Retained (M)9.269.269.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.43-2.14-1.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.847.127.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.879.879.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.720.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.720.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87.50$239.87$345.23
Upside / Downside629.18%1,898.91%2,776.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.1418.2519.4420.7022.0523.4824.18
Payout Ratio45.95%54.76%63.57%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.879.9912.3614.9817.9021.1322.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9.249.329.41
Year 2 PV (M)10.5610.7610.96
Year 3 PV (M)11.8312.1712.52
Year 4 PV (M)13.0613.5714.08
Year 5 PV (M)14.2614.9415.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)361.52378.98397.11
Equity Value (M)420.46439.74459.74
Shares Outstanding (M)9.879.879.87
Fair Value$42.59$44.54$46.57
Upside / Downside254.93%271.20%288.08%

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