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Newmont Corporation (0R28.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$151.01 - $403.13$231.36
Multi-Stage$102.13 - $111.64$106.80
Blended Fair Value$169.08
Current Price$84.31
Upside100.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.19%25.95%1.021.261.561.570.740.790.270.120.060.05
YoY Growth---19.08%-18.96%-0.63%110.67%-6.19%195.35%124.63%100.00%28.85%-54.39%
Dividend Yield--2.11%3.46%3.17%1.97%1.23%1.75%0.75%0.31%0.18%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,187.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,116.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,071.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,437.40898.38539.03
Cash Retained (M)6,071.006,071.006,071.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,437.40-898.38-539.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,633.605,172.635,531.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,122.001,122.001,122.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.134.614.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.134.614.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.125.605.93
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$151.01$231.36$403.13
Upside / Downside79.12%174.42%378.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,187.007,654.168,151.688,681.539,245.839,846.8110,142.22
Payout Ratio15.53%30.42%45.32%60.21%75.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,116.002,328.583,694.085,227.266,944.148,862.139,381.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,114.702,134.752,154.79
Year 2 PV (M)3,046.643,104.673,163.25
Year 3 PV (M)3,915.144,027.534,142.05
Year 4 PV (M)4,723.344,904.995,091.82
Year 5 PV (M)5,474.285,738.696,013.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)95,314.6599,918.39104,698.32
Equity Value (M)114,588.75119,829.01125,263.44
Shares Outstanding (M)1,122.001,122.001,122.00
Fair Value$102.13$106.80$111.64
Upside / Downside21.14%26.67%32.42%

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