Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (0HJO.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.70 - $191.84$144.74
Multi-Stage$126.05 - $137.49$131.67
Blended Fair Value$138.20
Current Price$193.17
Upside-28.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.76%4.94%6.736.456.226.216.185.875.635.405.084.58
YoY Growth--4.25%3.72%0.14%0.58%5.19%4.27%4.22%6.32%10.91%10.38%
Dividend Yield--3.13%3.56%3.70%2.50%3.35%3.99%2.81%3.29%2.77%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,168.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)984.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)184.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)233.73146.0887.65
Cash Retained (M)184.00184.00184.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-233.73-146.08-87.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-49.7337.9296.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.00143.00143.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.350.270.67
LTM Dividend per Share6.896.896.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.350.270.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.547.157.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$109.70$144.74$191.84
Upside / Downside-43.21%-25.07%-0.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,168.661,214.761,262.681,312.491,364.271,418.091,460.63
Payout Ratio84.26%85.40%86.55%87.70%88.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)984.661,037.461,092.891,151.081,212.171,276.281,351.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)941.95951.10960.25
Year 2 PV (M)900.93918.52936.27
Year 3 PV (M)861.54886.89912.74
Year 4 PV (M)823.74856.21889.64
Year 5 PV (M)787.46826.46866.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,710.7414,389.7315,095.36
Equity Value (M)18,026.3518,828.9019,661.24
Shares Outstanding (M)143.00143.00143.00
Fair Value$126.05$131.67$137.49
Upside / Downside-34.74%-31.84%-28.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
VKQInvesco Municipal Trust8.62%$0.8469.07%
ARCCAres Capital Corporation8.61%$1.7691.56%
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.8.52%$0.5767.26%
C-PJCitigroup Inc.8.49%$2.1326.99%
RVTRoyce Value Trust Inc.8.42%$1.3639.40%
OGNOrganon & Co.8.37%$0.6131.54%
MITTAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.8.12%$0.7043.47%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.8.06%$1.3978.70%
NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.8.02%$1.7794.64%
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P.8.00%$1.4690.71%
TSLXSixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.8.00%$1.7385.26%
ACCOACCO Brands Corporation7.90%$0.2967.00%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.7.90%$1.8197.75%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.7.82%$4.2388.03%
UNMAUnum Group 6.250% JR NT587.69%$1.7933.52%
WRB-PHW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125%7.68%$1.2726.69%
JHSJohn Hancock Income Securities Trust7.65%$0.8994.90%
NIDNuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund7.59%$1.0284.59%
HWCPZHancock Whitney Corporation - 67.58%$1.7731.35%
WRB-PGW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25%7.54%$1.2726.69%
NMTNuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund7.48%$0.8580.62%
LOANManhattan Bridge Capital, Inc.7.45%$0.3574.53%
OPALOPAL Fuels Inc.7.43%$0.1846.94%
ZIONLZions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.97.42%$1.8632.04%
GMTAGATX Corporation SR NT 20667.41%$1.8621.29%
IIMInvesco Value Municipal Income Trust7.41%$0.9264.33%
JMMNuveen Multi-Market Income Fund7.28%$0.4461.06%
BKEThe Buckle, Inc.7.26%$3.9196.21%
MHIPioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc.7.19%$0.6413.70%
ORIOld Republic International Corporation7.19%$3.1193.13%
PMFPIMCO Municipal Income Fund7.07%$0.5992.59%
RYNRayonier Inc.7.04%$1.5230.67%
DRQDril-Quip, Inc.7.02%$1.0850.37%
TRINITrinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 20297.02%$1.7883.48%
C-PNCitigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS7.01%$2.1326.99%
VPVInvesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust6.98%$0.7360.22%
VCVInvesco California Value Municipal Income Trust6.97%$0.7860.58%
EOTEaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust6.96%$1.1869.84%
FLATXFidelity Latin America Fund6.92%$1.1539.63%
EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc.6.91%$0.2592.67%
NOMNuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund6.91%$0.8278.81%
UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.6.90%$0.9996.30%
TBCAT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d6.89%$1.7255.65%
GTNGray Media, Inc.6.87%$0.3334.04%
HEPHolly Energy Partners, L.P.6.86%$1.4074.08%
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.6.85%$9.2396.49%
BANFPBFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20%6.85%$1.8025.72%
CFG-PDCitizens Financial Group, Inc.6.83%$1.7143.60%
RCIIRent-A-Center, Inc.6.81%$1.8279.98%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.6.81%$1.2778.56%