Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $42,942.38 - $70,740.09 | $55,291.46 |
| Multi-Stage | $81,966.54 - $90,035.94 | $85,923.43 |
| Blended Fair Value | $70,607.45 | |
| Current Price | $55,700.00 | |
| Upside | 26.76% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 23.38% | 14.63% | 3,562.05 | 2,151.18 | 1,839.08 | 1,430.51 | 1,268.13 | 1,246.05 | 1,219.40 | 992.81 | 751.73 | 169.76 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 65.59% | 16.97% | 28.56% | 12.80% | 1.77% | 2.19% | 22.82% | 32.07% | 342.81% | -81.34% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.18% | 5.71% | 6.24% | 4.01% | 4.49% | 6.28% | 4.47% | 0.00% | 2.56% | 0.57% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 929,241.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 534,313.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 394,928.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 185,848.20 | 116,155.13 | 69,693.08 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 394,928.00 | 394,928.00 | 394,928.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -185,848.20 | -116,155.13 | -69,693.08 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 209,079.80 | 278,772.88 | 325,234.93 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 244.90 | 244.90 | 244.90 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 853.73 | 1,138.31 | 1,328.02 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,181.75 | 2,181.75 | 2,181.75 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 853.73 | 1,138.31 | 1,328.02 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3,035.48 | 3,320.06 | 3,509.77 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.66% | 6.66% | 6.66% |
| Growth Rate | -0.38% | 0.62% | 1.62% |
| Fair Value | $42,942.38 | $55,291.46 | $70,740.09 |
| Upside / Downside | -22.90% | -0.73% | 27.00% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 929,241.00 | 935,009.07 | 940,812.94 | 946,652.84 | 952,528.99 | 958,441.61 | 987,194.86 |
| Payout Ratio | 57.50% | 64.00% | 70.50% | 77.00% | 83.50% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 534,313.00 | 598,405.34 | 663,272.77 | 728,922.45 | 795,361.59 | 862,597.45 | 913,155.25 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.66% | 6.66% | 6.66% |
| Growth Rate | -0.38% | 0.62% | 1.62% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 555,450.50 | 561,026.15 | 566,601.80 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 571,468.07 | 582,998.52 | 594,644.15 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 582,949.62 | 600,681.50 | 618,769.35 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 590,424.27 | 614,490.51 | 639,285.08 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 594,371.07 | 624,807.71 | 656,478.66 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 17,179,045.04 | 18,058,752.19 | 18,974,134.35 |
| Equity Value (M) | 20,073,708.56 | 21,042,756.57 | 22,049,913.39 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 244.90 | 244.90 | 244.90 |
| Fair Value | $81,966.54 | $85,923.43 | $90,035.94 |
| Upside / Downside | 47.16% | 54.26% | 61.64% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VKQ | Invesco Municipal Trust | 8.62% | $0.84 | 69.07% |
| ARCC | Ares Capital Corporation | 8.61% | $1.76 | 91.56% |
| TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | 8.52% | $0.57 | 67.26% |
| C-PJ | Citigroup Inc. | 8.49% | $2.13 | 26.99% |
| RVT | Royce Value Trust Inc. | 8.42% | $1.36 | 39.40% |
| OGN | Organon & Co. | 8.37% | $0.61 | 31.54% |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. | 8.12% | $0.70 | 43.47% |
| CAG | Conagra Brands, Inc. | 8.06% | $1.39 | 78.70% |
| NOG | Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 8.02% | $1.77 | 94.64% |
| PAA | Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. | 8.00% | $1.46 | 90.71% |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. | 8.00% | $1.73 | 85.26% |
| ACCO | ACCO Brands Corporation | 7.90% | $0.29 | 67.00% |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. | 7.90% | $1.81 | 97.75% |
| CQP | Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. | 7.82% | $4.23 | 88.03% |
| UNMA | Unum Group 6.250% JR NT58 | 7.69% | $1.79 | 33.52% |
| WRB-PH | W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125% | 7.68% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| JHS | John Hancock Income Securities Trust | 7.65% | $0.89 | 94.90% |
| NID | Nuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund | 7.59% | $1.02 | 84.59% |
| HWCPZ | Hancock Whitney Corporation - 6 | 7.58% | $1.77 | 31.35% |
| WRB-PG | W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25% | 7.54% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| NMT | Nuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund | 7.48% | $0.85 | 80.62% |
| LOAN | Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. | 7.45% | $0.35 | 74.53% |
| OPAL | OPAL Fuels Inc. | 7.43% | $0.18 | 46.94% |
| ZIONL | Zions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.9 | 7.42% | $1.86 | 32.04% |
| GMTA | GATX Corporation SR NT 2066 | 7.41% | $1.86 | 21.29% |
| IIM | Invesco Value Municipal Income Trust | 7.41% | $0.92 | 64.33% |
| JMM | Nuveen Multi-Market Income Fund | 7.28% | $0.44 | 61.06% |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | 7.26% | $3.91 | 96.21% |
| MHI | Pioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc. | 7.19% | $0.64 | 13.70% |
| ORI | Old Republic International Corporation | 7.19% | $3.11 | 93.13% |
| PMF | PIMCO Municipal Income Fund | 7.07% | $0.59 | 92.59% |
| RYN | Rayonier Inc. | 7.04% | $1.52 | 30.67% |
| DRQ | Dril-Quip, Inc. | 7.02% | $1.08 | 50.37% |
| TRINI | Trinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 2029 | 7.02% | $1.78 | 83.48% |
| C-PN | Citigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS | 7.01% | $2.13 | 26.99% |
| VPV | Invesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust | 6.98% | $0.73 | 60.22% |
| VCV | Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust | 6.97% | $0.78 | 60.58% |
| EOT | Eaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust | 6.96% | $1.18 | 69.84% |
| FLATX | Fidelity Latin America Fund | 6.92% | $1.15 | 39.63% |
| EGY | VAALCO Energy, Inc. | 6.91% | $0.25 | 92.67% |
| NOM | Nuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund | 6.91% | $0.82 | 78.81% |
| UBCP | United Bancorp, Inc. | 6.90% | $0.99 | 96.30% |
| TBC | AT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d | 6.89% | $1.72 | 55.65% |
| GTN | Gray Media, Inc. | 6.87% | $0.33 | 34.04% |
| HEP | Holly Energy Partners, L.P. | 6.86% | $1.40 | 74.08% |
| AFG | American Financial Group, Inc. | 6.85% | $9.23 | 96.49% |
| BANFP | BFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20% | 6.85% | $1.80 | 25.72% |
| CFG-PD | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | 6.83% | $1.71 | 43.60% |
| RCII | Rent-A-Center, Inc. | 6.81% | $1.82 | 79.98% |
| SPH | Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. | 6.81% | $1.27 | 78.56% |