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Daewon Kang Up Co., Ltd. (000430.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,408.30 - $2,113.69$1,742.41
Multi-Stage$3,462.79 - $3,806.42$3,631.23
Blended Fair Value$2,686.82
Current Price$3,735.00
Upside-28.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.83%-0.82%142.09137.31205.20130.24147.73148.14148.93163.47165.74154.24
YoY Growth--3.48%-33.08%57.56%-11.84%-0.27%-0.53%-8.89%-1.37%7.45%-0.01%
Dividend Yield--4.03%2.65%5.93%4.06%3.30%5.31%3.15%3.53%3.50%3.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,480.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,322.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,158.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,096.181,310.12786.07
Cash Retained (M)1,158.061,158.061,158.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,096.18-1,310.12-786.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)-938.12-152.05371.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.8461.8461.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share-15.17-2.466.02
LTM Dividend per Share150.75150.75150.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-15.17-2.466.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend135.58148.30156.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.82%-1.82%-0.82%
Fair Value$1,408.30$1,742.41$2,113.69
Upside / Downside-62.29%-53.35%-43.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,480.9210,290.4010,103.349,919.689,739.369,562.319,849.18
Payout Ratio88.95%89.16%89.37%89.58%89.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,322.869,174.989,029.408,886.088,744.988,606.089,110.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.82%-1.82%-0.82%
Year 1 PV (M)8,524.198,611.908,699.62
Year 2 PV (M)7,793.897,955.118,117.99
Year 3 PV (M)7,126.127,348.387,575.20
Year 4 PV (M)6,515.536,787.887,068.67
Year 5 PV (M)5,957.236,270.106,595.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)178,226.23187,586.59197,336.17
Equity Value (M)214,143.19224,559.96235,393.63
Shares Outstanding (M)61.8461.8461.84
Fair Value$3,462.79$3,631.23$3,806.42
Upside / Downside-7.29%-2.78%1.91%

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