Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.61 - $407.48$234.88
Multi-Stage$107.10 - $116.91$111.92
Blended Fair Value$173.40
Current Price$166.15
Upside4.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.73%17.92%2.442.211.861.250.371.531.030.870.780.69
YoY Growth--10.65%18.56%48.39%234.78%-75.59%49.33%17.88%11.72%12.73%47.37%
Dividend Yield--1.45%1.45%1.75%1.47%0.39%3.72%1.68%1.53%1.77%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)436.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)260.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.3554.5932.76
Cash Retained (M)260.73260.73260.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.35-54.59-32.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)173.38206.13227.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.7066.7066.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.603.093.42
LTM Dividend per Share2.642.642.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.603.093.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.245.736.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$153.61$234.88$407.48
Upside / Downside-7.55%41.37%145.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)436.75465.14495.38527.57561.87598.39616.34
Payout Ratio40.30%50.24%60.18%70.12%80.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.03233.70298.13369.94449.83538.55570.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)212.20214.21216.22
Year 2 PV (M)245.80250.48255.20
Year 3 PV (M)276.94284.89293.00
Year 4 PV (M)305.77317.53329.63
Year 5 PV (M)332.40348.45365.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,770.396,049.106,338.48
Equity Value (M)7,143.497,464.667,797.64
Shares Outstanding (M)66.7066.7066.70
Fair Value$107.10$111.92$116.91
Upside / Downside-35.54%-32.64%-29.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
VKQInvesco Municipal Trust8.62%$0.8469.07%
ARCCAres Capital Corporation8.61%$1.7691.56%
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.8.52%$0.5767.26%
C-PJCitigroup Inc.8.49%$2.1326.99%
RVTRoyce Value Trust Inc.8.42%$1.3639.40%
OGNOrganon & Co.8.37%$0.6131.54%
MITTAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.8.12%$0.7043.47%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.8.06%$1.3978.70%
NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.8.02%$1.7794.64%
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P.8.00%$1.4690.71%
TSLXSixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.8.00%$1.7385.26%
ACCOACCO Brands Corporation7.90%$0.2967.00%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.7.90%$1.8197.75%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.7.82%$4.2388.03%
UNMAUnum Group 6.250% JR NT587.69%$1.7933.52%
WRB-PHW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125%7.68%$1.2726.69%
JHSJohn Hancock Income Securities Trust7.65%$0.8994.90%
NIDNuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund7.59%$1.0284.59%
HWCPZHancock Whitney Corporation - 67.58%$1.7731.35%
WRB-PGW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25%7.54%$1.2726.69%
NMTNuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund7.48%$0.8580.62%
LOANManhattan Bridge Capital, Inc.7.45%$0.3574.53%
OPALOPAL Fuels Inc.7.43%$0.1846.94%
ZIONLZions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.97.42%$1.8632.04%
GMTAGATX Corporation SR NT 20667.41%$1.8621.29%
IIMInvesco Value Municipal Income Trust7.41%$0.9264.33%
JMMNuveen Multi-Market Income Fund7.28%$0.4461.06%
BKEThe Buckle, Inc.7.26%$3.9196.21%
MHIPioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc.7.19%$0.6413.70%
ORIOld Republic International Corporation7.19%$3.1193.13%
PMFPIMCO Municipal Income Fund7.07%$0.5992.59%
RYNRayonier Inc.7.04%$1.5230.67%
DRQDril-Quip, Inc.7.02%$1.0850.37%
TRINITrinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 20297.02%$1.7883.48%
C-PNCitigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS7.01%$2.1326.99%
VPVInvesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust6.98%$0.7360.22%
VCVInvesco California Value Municipal Income Trust6.97%$0.7860.58%
EOTEaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust6.96%$1.1869.84%
FLATXFidelity Latin America Fund6.92%$1.1539.63%
EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc.6.91%$0.2592.67%
NOMNuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund6.91%$0.8278.81%
UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.6.90%$0.9996.30%
TBCAT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d6.89%$1.7255.65%
GTNGray Media, Inc.6.87%$0.3334.04%
HEPHolly Energy Partners, L.P.6.86%$1.4074.08%
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.6.85%$9.2396.49%
BANFPBFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20%6.85%$1.8025.72%
CFG-PDCitizens Financial Group, Inc.6.83%$1.7143.60%
RCIIRent-A-Center, Inc.6.81%$1.8279.98%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.6.81%$1.2778.56%