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Sappe Public Company Limited (SAPPE.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.71 - $545.41$511.13
Multi-Stage$80.84 - $88.34$84.52
Blended Fair Value$297.83
Current Price$35.00
Upside750.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.28%9.30%2.181.651.101.010.820.650.680.530.410.30
YoY Growth--31.86%50.47%8.89%22.92%25.76%-4.37%28.63%29.02%37.40%-66.59%
Dividend Yield--6.27%1.85%1.94%3.64%2.88%4.38%3.63%2.25%1.55%1.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)844.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)693.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)150.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)168.81105.5163.30
Cash Retained (M)150.42150.42150.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-168.81-105.51-63.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.3944.9187.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)307.77307.77307.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.150.28
LTM Dividend per Share2.252.252.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.150.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.192.402.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$213.71$511.13$545.41
Upside / Downside510.61%1,360.37%1,458.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)844.07898.93957.361,019.591,085.861,156.441,191.14
Payout Ratio82.18%83.74%85.31%86.87%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)693.65752.79816.70885.73960.291,040.801,101.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)699.67706.30712.93
Year 2 PV (M)705.49718.93732.49
Year 3 PV (M)711.13731.54752.34
Year 4 PV (M)716.57744.13772.48
Year 5 PV (M)721.84756.70792.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,326.5922,356.6823,426.18
Equity Value (M)24,881.2926,014.2827,189.33
Shares Outstanding (M)307.77307.77307.77
Fair Value$80.84$84.52$88.34
Upside / Downside130.98%141.50%152.40%

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