Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Procter & Gamble Hygiene and Health Care Limited (PGHH.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,032.58 - $43,752.01$41,002.04
Multi-Stage$6,646.17 - $7,271.86$6,953.27
Blended Fair Value$23,977.66
Current Price$14,145.00
Upside69.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS28.79%22.25%205.00265.00145.00175.00340.0157.8796.4532.50479.0430.25
YoY Growth---22.64%82.76%-17.14%-48.53%487.56%-40.00%196.81%-93.22%1,483.64%9.99%
Dividend Yield--1.45%1.59%0.81%1.26%2.42%0.58%0.80%0.34%5.66%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,141.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,570.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,570.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,428.24892.65535.59
Cash Retained (M)3,570.403,570.403,570.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,428.24-892.65-535.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,142.162,677.753,034.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.4632.4632.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.9982.4993.49
LTM Dividend per Share110.00110.00110.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.9982.4993.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend176.00192.50203.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,032.58$41,002.04$43,752.01
Upside / Downside41.62%189.87%209.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,141.207,605.388,099.738,626.219,186.919,784.0610,077.58
Payout Ratio50.00%58.00%66.00%74.00%82.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,570.804,411.295,345.966,383.497,533.328,805.669,321.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,105.984,144.904,183.82
Year 2 PV (M)4,631.574,719.794,808.84
Year 3 PV (M)5,147.705,295.475,446.04
Year 4 PV (M)5,654.485,871.936,095.60
Year 5 PV (M)6,152.046,449.196,757.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)190,045.21199,224.46208,755.03
Equity Value (M)215,736.98225,705.75236,047.04
Shares Outstanding (M)32.4632.4632.46
Fair Value$6,646.17$6,953.27$7,271.86
Upside / Downside-53.01%-50.84%-48.59%

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