Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $5,100.33 - $7,800.35 | $6,362.47 |
| Multi-Stage | $11,404.24 - $12,523.90 | $11,953.19 |
| Blended Fair Value | $9,157.83 | |
| Current Price | $13,975.00 | |
| Upside | -34.47% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1,200.00 | 2,250.00 | 2,600.00 | 0.00 | 2,600.00 | 2,600.00 | 2,600.00 | 2,600.00 | 800.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -100.00% | -46.67% | -13.46% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 225.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.00% | 6.10% | 8.65% | 8.23% | 0.00% | 6.33% | 3.14% | 3.59% | 3.97% | 1.23% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,095,373.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 962,044.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 133,329.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 219,074.60 | 136,921.63 | 82,152.98 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 133,329.00 | 133,329.00 | 133,329.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -219,074.60 | -136,921.63 | -82,152.98 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -85,745.60 | -3,592.63 | 51,176.03 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,924.09 | 1,924.09 | 1,924.09 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -44.56 | -1.87 | 26.60 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 500.00 | 500.00 | 500.00 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -44.56 | -1.87 | 26.60 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 455.44 | 498.13 | 526.60 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.75% | 6.75% | 6.75% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $5,100.33 | $6,362.47 | $7,800.35 |
| Upside / Downside | -63.50% | -54.47% | -44.18% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,095,373.00 | 1,084,419.27 | 1,073,575.08 | 1,062,839.33 | 1,052,210.93 | 1,041,688.82 | 1,072,939.49 |
| Payout Ratio | 87.83% | 88.26% | 88.70% | 89.13% | 89.57% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 962,044.00 | 957,134.32 | 952,226.62 | 947,321.37 | 942,419.00 | 937,519.94 | 992,469.03 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.75% | 6.75% | 6.75% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 887,548.36 | 896,604.98 | 905,661.60 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 818,801.44 | 835,596.93 | 852,562.94 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 755,361.34 | 778,721.40 | 802,558.18 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 696,819.98 | 725,699.91 | 755,468.38 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 642,800.51 | 676,272.63 | 711,124.82 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 18,141,433.73 | 19,086,100.28 | 20,069,716.06 |
| Equity Value (M) | 21,942,765.37 | 22,998,996.13 | 24,097,091.97 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,924.09 | 1,924.09 | 1,924.09 |
| Fair Value | $11,404.24 | $11,953.19 | $12,523.90 |
| Upside / Downside | -18.40% | -14.47% | -10.38% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VKQ | Invesco Municipal Trust | 8.62% | $0.84 | 69.07% |
| ARCC | Ares Capital Corporation | 8.61% | $1.76 | 91.56% |
| TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | 8.52% | $0.57 | 67.26% |
| C-PJ | Citigroup Inc. | 8.49% | $2.13 | 26.99% |
| RVT | Royce Value Trust Inc. | 8.42% | $1.36 | 39.40% |
| OGN | Organon & Co. | 8.37% | $0.61 | 31.54% |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. | 8.12% | $0.70 | 43.47% |
| CAG | Conagra Brands, Inc. | 8.06% | $1.39 | 78.70% |
| NOG | Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 8.02% | $1.77 | 94.64% |
| PAA | Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. | 8.00% | $1.46 | 90.71% |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. | 8.00% | $1.73 | 85.26% |
| ACCO | ACCO Brands Corporation | 7.90% | $0.29 | 67.00% |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. | 7.90% | $1.81 | 97.75% |
| CQP | Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. | 7.82% | $4.23 | 88.03% |
| UNMA | Unum Group 6.250% JR NT58 | 7.69% | $1.79 | 33.52% |
| WRB-PH | W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125% | 7.68% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| JHS | John Hancock Income Securities Trust | 7.65% | $0.89 | 94.90% |
| NID | Nuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund | 7.59% | $1.02 | 84.59% |
| HWCPZ | Hancock Whitney Corporation - 6 | 7.58% | $1.77 | 31.35% |
| WRB-PG | W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25% | 7.54% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| NMT | Nuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund | 7.48% | $0.85 | 80.62% |
| LOAN | Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. | 7.45% | $0.35 | 74.53% |
| OPAL | OPAL Fuels Inc. | 7.43% | $0.18 | 46.94% |
| ZIONL | Zions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.9 | 7.42% | $1.86 | 32.04% |
| GMTA | GATX Corporation SR NT 2066 | 7.41% | $1.86 | 21.29% |
| IIM | Invesco Value Municipal Income Trust | 7.41% | $0.92 | 64.33% |
| JMM | Nuveen Multi-Market Income Fund | 7.28% | $0.44 | 61.06% |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | 7.26% | $3.91 | 96.21% |
| MHI | Pioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc. | 7.19% | $0.64 | 13.70% |
| ORI | Old Republic International Corporation | 7.19% | $3.11 | 93.13% |
| PMF | PIMCO Municipal Income Fund | 7.07% | $0.59 | 92.59% |
| RYN | Rayonier Inc. | 7.04% | $1.52 | 30.67% |
| DRQ | Dril-Quip, Inc. | 7.02% | $1.08 | 50.37% |
| TRINI | Trinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 2029 | 7.02% | $1.78 | 83.48% |
| C-PN | Citigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS | 7.01% | $2.13 | 26.99% |
| VPV | Invesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust | 6.98% | $0.73 | 60.22% |
| VCV | Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust | 6.97% | $0.78 | 60.58% |
| EOT | Eaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust | 6.96% | $1.18 | 69.84% |
| FLATX | Fidelity Latin America Fund | 6.92% | $1.15 | 39.63% |
| EGY | VAALCO Energy, Inc. | 6.91% | $0.25 | 92.67% |
| NOM | Nuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund | 6.91% | $0.82 | 78.81% |
| UBCP | United Bancorp, Inc. | 6.90% | $0.99 | 96.30% |
| TBC | AT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d | 6.89% | $1.72 | 55.65% |
| GTN | Gray Media, Inc. | 6.87% | $0.33 | 34.04% |
| HEP | Holly Energy Partners, L.P. | 6.86% | $1.40 | 74.08% |
| AFG | American Financial Group, Inc. | 6.85% | $9.23 | 96.49% |
| BANFP | BFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20% | 6.85% | $1.80 | 25.72% |
| CFG-PD | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | 6.83% | $1.71 | 43.60% |
| RCII | Rent-A-Center, Inc. | 6.81% | $1.82 | 79.98% |
| SPH | Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. | 6.81% | $1.27 | 78.56% |