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Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. (ESQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134.05 - $355.60$204.98
Multi-Stage$90.37 - $98.81$94.51
Blended Fair Value$149.75
Current Price$102.06
Upside46.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.560.430.250.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.30%73.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.91%0.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.826.143.68
Cash Retained (M)43.5643.5643.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.82-6.14-3.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.7437.4239.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.598.598.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.934.364.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.934.364.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.575.005.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$134.05$204.98$355.60
Upside / Downside31.35%100.84%248.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49.1152.3055.7059.3263.1767.2869.30
Payout Ratio11.29%27.03%42.77%58.52%74.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.5414.1423.8234.7146.9160.5564.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)12.8412.9613.08
Year 2 PV (M)19.6420.0220.39
Year 3 PV (M)25.9926.7327.49
Year 4 PV (M)31.8933.1134.38
Year 5 PV (M)37.3739.1841.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)648.80680.14712.68
Equity Value (M)776.53812.14849.07
Shares Outstanding (M)8.598.598.59
Fair Value$90.37$94.51$98.81
Upside / Downside-11.46%-7.40%-3.19%

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