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Acorn Energy, Inc. (ACFN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.66 - $26.86$22.66
Multi-Stage$29.00 - $31.92$30.43
Blended Fair Value$26.54
Current Price$16.95
Upside56.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-37.52%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-90.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.00%0.03%79.53%64.38%2,116.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.330.830.50
Cash Retained (M)6.666.666.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.33-0.83-0.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.335.836.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.112.312.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.112.312.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.312.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.66$22.66$26.86
Upside / Downside10.09%33.68%58.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.676.606.546.476.416.346.53
Payout Ratio0.09%18.07%36.05%54.04%72.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.011.192.363.504.615.716.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.081.091.10
Year 2 PV (M)1.941.982.02
Year 3 PV (M)2.612.692.78
Year 4 PV (M)3.133.263.39
Year 5 PV (M)3.513.693.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)60.9464.1167.42
Equity Value (M)73.2176.8380.59
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$29.00$30.43$31.92
Upside / Downside71.08%79.53%88.32%

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