Definitive Analysis
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Rechi Precision Co., Ltd. (4532.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.66 - $37.00$29.07
Multi-Stage$45.84 - $50.34$48.05
Blended Fair Value$38.56
Current Price$24.35
Upside58.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.77%-3.06%1.000.900.700.710.511.221.782.231.511.88
YoY Growth--11.11%28.60%-0.99%39.99%-58.33%-31.56%-20.36%48.32%-20.00%37.33%
Dividend Yield--3.31%3.62%3.72%3.94%2.35%8.17%6.99%7.33%4.56%7.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,022.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)742.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)279.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)204.47127.7976.68
Cash Retained (M)279.62279.62279.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-204.47-127.79-76.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.15151.83202.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)497.86497.86497.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.300.41
LTM Dividend per Share1.491.491.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.300.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.641.801.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.66%0.34%1.34%
Fair Value$22.66$29.07$37.00
Upside / Downside-6.95%19.37%51.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,022.351,025.811,029.281,032.771,036.271,039.781,070.97
Payout Ratio72.65%76.12%79.59%83.06%86.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)742.73780.84819.20857.81896.68935.80990.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.66%0.34%1.34%
Year 1 PV (M)725.59732.90740.20
Year 2 PV (M)707.39721.70736.16
Year 3 PV (M)688.32709.32730.74
Year 4 PV (M)668.60695.94724.10
Year 5 PV (M)648.41681.71716.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,383.9820,379.4721,415.45
Equity Value (M)22,822.2923,921.0325,063.00
Shares Outstanding (M)497.86497.86497.86
Fair Value$45.84$48.05$50.34
Upside / Downside88.26%97.32%106.74%

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