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Level Biotechnology Inc. (3118.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.12 - $41.91$32.51
Multi-Stage$36.43 - $39.85$38.11
Blended Fair Value$35.31
Current Price$32.45
Upside8.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.20%0.00%1.691.691.891.591.291.001.891.892.191.99
YoY Growth--0.00%-10.53%18.75%23.08%30.00%-47.37%0.00%-13.64%10.00%17.65%
Dividend Yield--5.09%5.39%6.24%5.33%4.20%4.30%6.48%5.42%6.97%5.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.788.615.17
Cash Retained (M)13.7213.7213.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.78-8.61-5.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.055.118.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.5832.5832.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.160.26
LTM Dividend per Share1.691.691.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.160.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.691.851.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Fair Value$25.12$32.51$41.91
Upside / Downside-22.60%0.19%29.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.8970.4271.9773.5675.1876.8479.15
Payout Ratio80.08%82.06%84.05%86.03%88.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.1757.7960.4963.2866.1769.1673.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Year 1 PV (M)52.9753.4954.02
Year 2 PV (M)50.8351.8452.85
Year 3 PV (M)48.7450.2051.69
Year 4 PV (M)46.7248.5950.52
Year 5 PV (M)44.7647.0149.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)942.84990.351,039.76
Equity Value (M)1,186.861,241.491,298.20
Shares Outstanding (M)32.5832.5832.58
Fair Value$36.43$38.11$39.85
Upside / Downside12.26%17.43%22.80%

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