Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

YLZ Information Technology Co., Ltd (300096.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.48 - $0.62$0.56
Multi-Stage$0.94 - $1.04$0.99
Blended Fair Value$0.77
Current Price$7.38
Upside-89.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-41.09%-37.55%0.000.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth---95.35%-59.47%276.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-87.29%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.16%0.25%0.06%0.07%0.05%0.04%0.04%0.04%0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.537.834.70
Cash Retained (M)55.2355.2355.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.53-7.83-4.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.7047.4050.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)429.87429.87429.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate-12.06%-11.06%-10.06%
Fair Value$0.48$0.56$0.62
Upside / Downside-93.52%-92.48%-91.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.6555.7349.5644.0839.2134.8735.92
Payout Ratio11.84%27.47%43.11%58.74%74.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.4215.3121.3625.8929.1631.3933.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate-12.06%-11.06%-10.06%
Year 1 PV (M)13.8414.0014.15
Year 2 PV (M)17.4617.8618.26
Year 3 PV (M)19.1319.7920.46
Year 4 PV (M)19.4720.3821.31
Year 5 PV (M)18.9520.0521.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)314.72333.03352.18
Equity Value (M)403.58425.10447.57
Shares Outstanding (M)429.87429.87429.87
Fair Value$0.94$0.99$1.04
Upside / Downside-87.28%-86.60%-85.89%

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