Definitive Analysis
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Sampo Corporation (1604.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.62 - $66.89$44.85
Multi-Stage$46.47 - $50.93$48.66
Blended Fair Value$46.75
Current Price$25.30
Upside84.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.10%3.87%1.501.502.702.551.521.420.251.801.351.41
YoY Growth--0.00%-44.44%5.65%67.52%7.43%461.52%-85.99%33.06%-3.66%37.22%
Dividend Yield--5.35%5.02%9.80%7.90%4.97%8.32%1.51%10.33%5.63%8.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)638.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)545.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127.6279.7647.86
Cash Retained (M)92.7092.7092.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-127.62-79.76-47.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)-34.9212.9444.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)364.11364.11364.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.12
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate1.87%2.87%3.87%
Fair Value$31.62$44.85$66.89
Upside / Downside24.97%77.28%164.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)638.12656.43675.27694.65714.59735.10757.15
Payout Ratio85.47%86.38%87.28%88.19%89.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)545.42567.01589.40612.61636.66661.59700.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate1.87%2.87%3.87%
Year 1 PV (M)527.79532.97538.15
Year 2 PV (M)510.68520.75530.93
Year 3 PV (M)494.07508.76523.74
Year 4 PV (M)477.95496.99516.60
Year 5 PV (M)462.30485.45509.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,448.1515,171.3615,923.24
Equity Value (M)16,920.9417,716.2918,542.17
Shares Outstanding (M)364.11364.11364.11
Fair Value$46.47$48.66$50.93
Upside / Downside83.69%92.32%101.29%

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