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Main Street Capital Corporation (0JXQ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.29 - $379.84$218.00
Multi-Stage$100.42 - $109.54$104.90
Blended Fair Value$161.45
Current Price$63.59
Upside153.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.30%12.82%3.603.062.181.811.631.851.761.671.431.24
YoY Growth--17.98%39.87%20.95%11.13%-12.06%5.27%5.14%16.39%15.22%15.36%
Dividend Yield--6.37%6.51%5.54%4.24%4.15%9.01%4.67%4.52%3.75%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)536.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)282.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)254.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.3067.0740.24
Cash Retained (M)254.16254.16254.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.30-67.07-40.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)146.86187.10213.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.8988.8988.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.652.102.41
LTM Dividend per Share3.183.183.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.652.102.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.835.285.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$142.29$218.00$379.84
Upside / Downside123.76%242.82%497.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)536.52571.39608.53648.09690.21735.08757.13
Payout Ratio52.63%60.10%67.58%75.05%82.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)282.36343.42411.23486.40569.60661.57700.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)311.88314.83317.79
Year 2 PV (M)339.15345.61352.13
Year 3 PV (M)364.30374.76385.42
Year 4 PV (M)387.44402.34417.66
Year 5 PV (M)408.66428.40448.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,115.387,459.057,815.88
Equity Value (M)8,926.829,325.009,737.78
Shares Outstanding (M)88.8988.8988.89
Fair Value$100.42$104.90$109.54
Upside / Downside57.92%64.96%72.26%

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