Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hyundai Motor Securities Co., Ltd. (001500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,980.46 - $29,803.68$21,628.48
Multi-Stage$23,212.43 - $25,488.89$24,328.97
Blended Fair Value$22,978.73
Current Price$8,330.00
Upside175.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.43%0.00%318.35415.22576.75483.56438.73268.91239.03239.03268.9189.64
YoY Growth---23.33%-28.01%19.27%10.22%63.15%12.50%0.00%-11.11%200.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.65%5.10%7.09%4.72%3.64%4.16%2.72%2.46%2.70%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,573.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,074.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,499.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,514.606,571.633,942.98
Cash Retained (M)38,499.0038,499.0038,499.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,514.60-6,571.63-3,942.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,984.4031,927.3834,556.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.0949.0949.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share570.02650.33703.87
LTM Dividend per Share286.67286.67286.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share570.02650.33703.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend856.69937.00990.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Fair Value$15,980.46$21,628.48$29,803.68
Upside / Downside91.84%159.65%257.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,573.0053,852.0055,162.1156,504.1057,878.7359,286.8061,065.41
Payout Ratio26.77%39.42%52.06%64.71%77.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,074.0021,226.4728,718.6336,562.7644,771.5653,358.1256,485.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Year 1 PV (M)19,667.9719,861.8720,055.77
Year 2 PV (M)24,656.2525,144.8125,638.15
Year 3 PV (M)29,086.0029,954.7630,840.65
Year 4 PV (M)33,001.1334,321.9035,681.93
Year 5 PV (M)36,442.5638,274.7240,179.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)996,740.021,046,851.421,098,958.35
Equity Value (M)1,139,593.931,194,409.481,251,354.70
Shares Outstanding (M)49.0949.0949.09
Fair Value$23,212.43$24,328.97$25,488.89
Upside / Downside178.66%192.06%205.99%

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