Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Guoyuan Securities Company Limited (000728.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.48 - $123.76$115.98
Multi-Stage$16.63 - $18.18$17.39
Blended Fair Value$66.68
Current Price$9.13
Upside630.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.43%14.44%0.390.380.390.370.300.380.330.360.330.13
YoY Growth--2.42%-4.08%5.52%26.03%-21.82%15.03%-7.91%8.95%155.43%27.98%
Dividend Yield--4.99%5.68%5.84%5.23%3.85%5.13%3.50%4.40%2.71%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,689.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,411.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,277.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)537.85336.16201.69
Cash Retained (M)1,277.521,277.521,277.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-537.85-336.16-201.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)739.67941.361,075.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,321.574,321.574,321.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.48$115.98$123.76
Upside / Downside321.49%1,170.30%1,255.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,689.252,864.053,050.213,248.473,459.633,684.503,795.04
Payout Ratio52.50%60.00%67.50%75.00%82.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,411.731,718.322,058.812,436.302,854.163,316.053,510.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,592.841,607.941,623.04
Year 2 PV (M)1,769.101,802.801,836.81
Year 3 PV (M)1,940.591,996.302,053.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,107.422,188.462,271.82
Year 5 PV (M)2,269.672,379.292,493.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,168.4265,171.1768,288.86
Equity Value (M)71,848.0475,145.9778,566.71
Shares Outstanding (M)4,321.574,321.574,321.57
Fair Value$16.63$17.39$18.18
Upside / Downside82.10%90.46%99.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
VKQInvesco Municipal Trust8.62%$0.8469.07%
ARCCAres Capital Corporation8.61%$1.7691.56%
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.8.52%$0.5767.26%
C-PJCitigroup Inc.8.49%$2.1326.99%
RVTRoyce Value Trust Inc.8.42%$1.3639.40%
OGNOrganon & Co.8.37%$0.6131.54%
MITTAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.8.12%$0.7043.47%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.8.06%$1.3978.70%
NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.8.02%$1.7794.64%
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P.8.00%$1.4690.71%
TSLXSixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.8.00%$1.7385.26%
ACCOACCO Brands Corporation7.90%$0.2967.00%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.7.90%$1.8197.75%
CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.7.82%$4.2388.03%
UNMAUnum Group 6.250% JR NT587.69%$1.7933.52%
WRB-PHW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125%7.68%$1.2726.69%
JHSJohn Hancock Income Securities Trust7.65%$0.8994.90%
NIDNuveen Intermediate Duration Municipal Term Fund7.59%$1.0284.59%
HWCPZHancock Whitney Corporation - 67.58%$1.7731.35%
WRB-PGW.R. Berkley Corporation 4.25%7.54%$1.2726.69%
NMTNuveen Massachusetts Quality Municipal Income Fund7.48%$0.8580.62%
LOANManhattan Bridge Capital, Inc.7.45%$0.3574.53%
OPALOPAL Fuels Inc.7.43%$0.1846.94%
ZIONLZions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.97.42%$1.8632.04%
GMTAGATX Corporation SR NT 20667.41%$1.8621.29%
IIMInvesco Value Municipal Income Trust7.41%$0.9264.33%
JMMNuveen Multi-Market Income Fund7.28%$0.4461.06%
BKEThe Buckle, Inc.7.26%$3.9196.21%
MHIPioneer Municipal High Income Fund, Inc.7.19%$0.6413.70%
ORIOld Republic International Corporation7.19%$3.1193.13%
PMFPIMCO Municipal Income Fund7.07%$0.5992.59%
RYNRayonier Inc.7.04%$1.5230.67%
DRQDril-Quip, Inc.7.02%$1.0850.37%
TRINITrinity Capital Inc. 7.875% Notes Due 20297.02%$1.7883.48%
C-PNCitigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS7.01%$2.1326.99%
VPVInvesco Pennsylvania Value Municipal Income Trust6.98%$0.7360.22%
VCVInvesco California Value Municipal Income Trust6.97%$0.7860.58%
EOTEaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust6.96%$1.1869.84%
FLATXFidelity Latin America Fund6.92%$1.1539.63%
EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc.6.91%$0.2592.67%
NOMNuveen Missouri Quality Municipal Income Fund6.91%$0.8278.81%
UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.6.90%$0.9996.30%
TBCAT&T Inc. 5.625% Global Notes d6.89%$1.7255.65%
GTNGray Media, Inc.6.87%$0.3334.04%
HEPHolly Energy Partners, L.P.6.86%$1.4074.08%
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.6.85%$9.2396.49%
BANFPBFC Capital Trust II PFD TR 7.20%6.85%$1.8025.72%
CFG-PDCitizens Financial Group, Inc.6.83%$1.7143.60%
RCIIRent-A-Center, Inc.6.81%$1.8279.98%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.6.81%$1.2778.56%