Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

LiveChat Software S.A. (LVC.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.80 - $336.93$213.25
Multi-Stage$103.71 - $113.29$108.41
Blended Fair Value$160.83
Current Price$128.80
Upside24.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS20.60%0.00%4.723.942.772.011.871.851.080.710.370.23
YoY Growth--19.80%42.24%37.81%7.49%1.08%71.30%52.11%91.89%58.79%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.66%4.00%2.01%3.16%5.88%5.66%1.83%1.51%1.31%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)181.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)143.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.3022.6913.61
Cash Retained (M)143.92143.92143.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.30-22.69-13.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)107.61121.23130.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.184.715.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.461.461.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.184.715.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.646.176.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$145.80$213.25$336.93
Upside / Downside13.20%65.56%161.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)181.51193.31205.88219.26233.51248.69256.15
Payout Ratio20.71%34.57%48.43%62.29%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.6066.8399.70136.56177.80223.82236.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60.4160.9961.56
Year 2 PV (M)81.4883.0384.60
Year 3 PV (M)100.89103.79106.74
Year 4 PV (M)118.74123.31128.01
Year 5 PV (M)135.13141.65148.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,173.862,278.862,387.87
Equity Value (M)2,670.512,791.622,917.20
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
Fair Value$103.71$108.41$113.29
Upside / Downside-19.48%-15.83%-12.04%

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