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Companhia Habitasul de Participações (HBTS5.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.51 - $64.22$52.05
Multi-Stage$95.91 - $105.50$100.61
Blended Fair Value$76.33
Current Price$30.30
Upside151.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS143.14%22.83%4.952.202.770.110.030.060.040.330.480.94
YoY Growth--124.51%-20.38%2,459.62%211.67%-40.41%53.76%-88.51%-31.17%-49.29%49.18%
Dividend Yield--16.50%5.82%9.89%0.25%0.18%0.78%0.41%4.02%6.61%18.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.155.093.06
Cash Retained (M)14.9414.9414.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.15-5.09-3.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.799.8511.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.139.139.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.741.081.30
LTM Dividend per Share2.832.832.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.741.081.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.573.904.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$41.51$52.05$64.22
Upside / Downside37.01%71.77%111.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.7540.3439.9439.5439.1438.7539.91
Payout Ratio63.33%68.66%74.00%79.33%84.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.8027.7029.5531.3733.1434.8836.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.7626.0326.29
Year 2 PV (M)25.5726.0926.62
Year 3 PV (M)25.2426.0226.82
Year 4 PV (M)24.8025.8326.89
Year 5 PV (M)24.2825.5426.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)750.37789.45830.13
Equity Value (M)876.03918.96963.61
Shares Outstanding (M)9.139.139.13
Fair Value$95.91$100.61$105.50
Upside / Downside216.54%232.05%248.19%

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