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Citizens Financial Services, Inc. (CZFS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$167.34 - $443.90$255.88
Multi-Stage$115.01 - $125.63$120.23
Blended Fair Value$188.05
Current Price$60.28
Upside211.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.05%4.27%1.951.781.591.551.371.321.281.081.061.08
YoY Growth--9.40%12.06%2.78%12.91%3.55%3.25%18.14%1.89%-1.36%-15.85%
Dividend Yield--3.39%3.77%1.96%2.51%2.41%2.78%2.06%1.80%2.29%2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.814.262.56
Cash Retained (M)24.5924.5924.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.81-4.26-2.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.7820.3422.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.724.264.61
LTM Dividend per Share1.981.981.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.724.264.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.716.246.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$167.34$255.88$443.90
Upside / Downside177.60%324.48%636.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.0736.2938.6541.1643.8346.6848.08
Payout Ratio27.82%40.25%52.69%65.13%77.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.4814.6120.3626.8034.0042.0144.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.2613.3913.51
Year 2 PV (M)16.7917.1117.43
Year 3 PV (M)20.0720.6421.23
Year 4 PV (M)23.1124.0024.91
Year 5 PV (M)25.9327.1828.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)450.16471.90494.48
Equity Value (M)549.32574.22600.05
Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
Fair Value$115.01$120.23$125.63
Upside / Downside90.80%99.45%108.42%

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