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Value Line, Inc. (VALU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.75 - $22.62$19.11
Multi-Stage$26.66 - $29.23$27.92
Blended Fair Value$23.51
Current Price$36.66
Upside-35.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.91%6.74%1.201.121.010.890.860.820.780.950.700.66
YoY Growth--7.03%11.51%12.68%4.18%4.45%4.92%-17.55%34.96%7.28%4.74%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.37%1.88%0.91%2.68%3.33%3.00%4.16%3.97%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.252.661.59
Cash Retained (M)9.499.499.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.25-2.66-1.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.246.837.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.419.419.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.730.84
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.730.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.811.982.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.13%-1.13%-0.13%
Fair Value$15.75$19.11$22.62
Upside / Downside-57.03%-47.87%-38.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.2621.0220.7820.5520.3120.0920.69
Payout Ratio55.36%62.29%69.22%76.15%83.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.7713.0914.3815.6416.8818.0819.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.13%-1.13%-0.13%
Year 1 PV (M)11.8812.0012.12
Year 2 PV (M)11.8412.0812.33
Year 3 PV (M)11.6912.0512.42
Year 4 PV (M)11.4411.9112.40
Year 5 PV (M)11.1211.7012.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)192.99203.05213.53
Equity Value (M)250.95262.79275.10
Shares Outstanding (M)9.419.419.41
Fair Value$26.66$27.92$29.23
Upside / Downside-27.28%-23.84%-20.28%

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