Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker / Industry / Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.30 - $70.34$56.16
Multi-Stage$53.56 - $58.61$56.04
Blended Fair Value$56.10
Current Price$75.18
Upside-25.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$44.30$56.16$70.34
Upside / Downside-41.07%-25.30%-6.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.62124.82
Year 2 PV (M)143.04145.87148.72
Year 3 PV (M)160.13164.90169.76
Year 4 PV (M)174.08181.02188.17
Year 5 PV (M)185.25194.53204.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,983.303,132.733,288.09
Equity Value (M)3,768.233,942.674,123.73
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$53.56$56.04$58.61
Upside / Downside-28.76%-25.46%-22.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 36 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
603317.SSSichuan Teway Food Group Co.,Ltd4.37%$0.5599.52%
ATRUST.ATAlpha Trust Mutual Fund and Alternative Investment Fund Management S.A.4.37%$0.5666.75%
BAM-R.BKBangkok Commercial Asset Management Public Company Limited4.37%$0.3550.66%
BPP-R.BKBanpu Power Public Company Limited4.37%$0.5585.50%
CRR-UN.TOCrombie Real Estate Investment Trust4.37%$0.6776.03%
U14.SIUOL Group Limited4.37%$0.3828.25%
016710.KSDaesung Holdings Co., Ltd.4.36%$368.1823.51%
093050.KSLF Corp.4.36%$772.5624.62%
600285.SSHenan Lingrui Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.4.36%$0.9064.11%
EMAARDEV.AEEmaar Development PJSC4.36%$0.6827.01%
EN.PABouygues S.A.4.36%$1.9772.18%
HWX.TOHeadwater Exploration Inc.4.36%$0.4257.78%
PIRC.MIPirelli & C. S.p.A.4.36%$0.2651.67%
ZWACK.BDZwack Unicum Nyrt.4.36%$1,500.0088.31%
000531.SZGuangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding Ltd4.35%$0.2868.19%
000538.SZYunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd4.35%$2.4784.67%
4792.TYAMADA Consulting Group Co.,Ltd.4.35%$76.8861.51%
603165.SSZhejiang Rongsheng Environmental Protection Paper Joint Stock Co., Ltd.4.35%$0.5573.83%
SBFG3.SAGrupo SBF S.A.4.35%$0.5537.97%
000240.KSHankook & Company Co., Ltd.4.34%$1,090.2033.39%
WCP.TOWhitecap Resources Inc.4.34%$0.5168.17%
8595.TJAFCO Group Co., Ltd.4.33%$104.3181.02%
ADW-A.TOAndrew Peller Limited4.33%$0.2364.87%
ITRNIturan Location and Control Ltd.4.33%$1.8464.72%
MRG-UN.TOMorguard North American Residential Real Estate Investment Trust4.33%$0.7528.03%
SYNEX-R.BKSynnex (Thailand) Public Company Limited4.33%$0.4353.70%
002275.SZGuilin Sanjin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.4.32%$0.6168.51%
091700.KQPartron Co., Ltd.4.32%$299.9351.71%
000333.SZMidea Group Co., Ltd.4.31%$3.3757.37%
002460.KSHS Hwasung Co., Ltd.4.31%$499.9314.25%
002833.SZGuangzhou KDT Machinery Co.,Ltd.4.31%$0.7074.51%
1050.HKKarrie International Holdings Limited4.31%$0.1159.43%
2763.TFTGroup Co., Ltd.4.31%$55.3330.88%
SB1NO.OLSpareBank 1 Sørøst-Norge4.31%$8.5049.18%
018250.KSAekyung Industrial Co., Ltd.4.30%$579.5745.50%
300441.SZNingbo BaoSi Energy Equipment Co., Ltd.4.30%$0.3272.05%
4042.TTosoh Corporation4.30%$101.0478.91%
4261.SRTheeb Rent A Car Company4.30%$1.6436.96%
AVIA.JKPT Avia Avian Tbk4.30%$22.3878.99%
PREVA.ASValue8 N.V.4.30%$0.2111.56%
SONYN.MXSony Group Corporation4.30%$20.0110.30%
SYMC.BKSymphony Communication Public Company Limited4.30%$0.1542.26%
TOA.BKTOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Limited4.30%$0.5846.29%
2546.TWKedge Construction Co., Ltd.4.29%$3.6945.15%
267290.KSKyungdong City Gas Co., Ltd4.29%$875.0617.76%
601168.SSWestern Mining Co.,Ltd.4.29%$1.1989.92%
INH.DEINDUS Holding AG4.29%$1.2259.56%
OSP-R.BKOsotspa Public Company Limited4.29%$0.6959.37%
PE1.AXPengana Private Equity Trust4.29%$0.0632.51%
003540.KSDaishin Securities Co., Ltd.4.28%$1,158.7444.30%