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PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk (CITA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,044.40 - $10,618.01$8,731.91
Multi-Stage$14,323.76 - $15,744.43$15,020.25
Blended Fair Value$11,876.08
Current Price$4,000.00
Upside196.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%117.0010.0055.0091.0093.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1,070.00%-81.82%-39.56%-2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.95%0.44%1.51%3.01%3.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,276,000.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,762,360.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,513,639.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)655,200.03409,500.02245,700.01
Cash Retained (M)1,513,639.391,513,639.391,513,639.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-655,200.03-409,500.02-245,700.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)858,439.361,104,139.371,267,939.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,960.363,960.363,960.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share216.76278.80320.16
LTM Dividend per Share445.00445.00445.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share216.76278.80320.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend661.76723.80765.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7,044.40$8,731.91$10,618.01
Upside / Downside76.11%118.30%165.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,276,000.153,243,240.153,210,807.753,178,699.673,146,912.673,115,443.543,208,906.85
Payout Ratio53.80%61.04%68.28%75.52%82.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,762,360.761,979,572.952,192,264.652,400,504.572,604,360.472,803,899.192,968,238.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,827,857.751,846,509.361,865,160.97
Year 2 PV (M)1,869,109.531,907,449.241,946,178.19
Year 3 PV (M)1,889,797.161,948,240.422,007,876.36
Year 4 PV (M)1,893,148.291,971,610.442,052,486.60
Year 5 PV (M)1,881,987.871,979,987.352,082,027.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,365,373.0349,831,797.9052,399,915.12
Equity Value (M)56,727,273.6459,485,594.7162,353,644.64
Shares Outstanding (M)3,960.363,960.363,960.36
Fair Value$14,323.76$15,020.25$15,744.43
Upside / Downside258.09%275.51%293.61%

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