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Bank First Corporation (BFC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$166.89 - $442.71$255.19
Multi-Stage$120.83 - $131.65$126.14
Blended Fair Value$190.67
Current Price$121.31
Upside57.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.29%18.25%1.571.200.790.880.620.550.460.410.370.32
YoY Growth--30.13%52.89%-10.43%42.07%12.52%20.60%11.96%10.37%14.28%10.16%
Dividend Yield--1.56%1.46%1.07%1.22%0.83%0.98%0.77%0.88%1.05%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.138.835.30
Cash Retained (M)18.5018.5018.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.13-8.83-5.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.379.6713.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.939.939.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.971.33
LTM Dividend per Share5.255.255.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.971.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.696.236.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$166.89$255.19$442.71
Upside / Downside37.57%110.36%264.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.6575.2480.1385.3490.8896.7999.69
Payout Ratio73.82%77.05%80.29%83.53%86.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.1557.9764.3471.2878.8587.1192.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.6453.1453.64
Year 2 PV (M)53.0454.0555.07
Year 3 PV (M)53.3654.8956.45
Year 4 PV (M)53.6055.6657.78
Year 5 PV (M)53.7756.3659.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)933.38978.461,025.27
Equity Value (M)1,199.791,252.571,307.27
Shares Outstanding (M)9.939.939.93
Fair Value$120.83$126.14$131.65
Upside / Downside-0.40%3.98%8.52%

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