Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Funeng Oriental Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. (300173.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.55 - $15.22$8.68
Multi-Stage$1.80 - $1.97$1.89
Blended Fair Value$5.28
Current Price$6.02
Upside-12.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.17%15.49%0.050.050.050.050.040.030.060.050.040.01
YoY Growth---9.42%-1.91%19.51%22.30%30.73%-49.06%12.54%15.39%329.69%-12.55%
Dividend Yield--0.82%1.19%1.19%0.89%0.74%0.51%0.95%0.63%0.28%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.317.074.24
Cash Retained (M)33.7733.7733.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.31-7.07-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.4626.7029.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)738.36738.36738.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.55$8.68$15.22
Upside / Downside-41.09%44.15%152.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.5360.2064.1168.2872.7277.4479.77
Payout Ratio40.26%50.21%60.16%70.10%80.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.7630.2338.5747.8758.2169.7073.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.9028.1628.43
Year 2 PV (M)32.8633.4934.12
Year 3 PV (M)37.6438.7239.82
Year 4 PV (M)42.2543.8845.55
Year 5 PV (M)46.7048.9551.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,143.801,199.041,256.41
Equity Value (M)1,331.151,392.251,455.62
Shares Outstanding (M)738.36738.36738.36
Fair Value$1.80$1.89$1.97
Upside / Downside-70.05%-68.68%-67.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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