Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker / Industry / Sector

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$244.22 - $1,331.25$475.01
Multi-Stage$156.39 - $171.14$163.63
Blended Fair Value$319.32
Current Price$229.48
Upside39.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.94%6.14%2.192.041.891.761.671.571.471.411.341.28
YoY Growth--7.66%7.62%7.29%5.76%6.37%6.37%4.84%5.16%4.91%5.47%
Dividend Yield--0.91%1.07%1.40%1.33%1.68%2.09%1.84%2.12%2.13%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,107.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)726.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,380.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)421.40263.38158.03
Cash Retained (M)1,380.801,380.801,380.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-421.40-263.38-158.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)959.401,117.431,222.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)313.13313.13313.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.063.573.91
LTM Dividend per Share2.322.322.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.063.573.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.385.896.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Fair Value$244.22$475.01$1,331.25
Upside / Downside6.42%106.99%480.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,107.002,232.152,364.742,505.202,654.012,811.652,896.00
Payout Ratio34.47%45.57%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)726.201,017.261,340.331,698.192,093.832,530.492,678.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Year 1 PV (M)939.51948.46957.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,143.281,165.181,187.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,337.831,376.441,415.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,523.451,582.361,642.95
Year 5 PV (M)1,700.441,783.021,868.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,325.4744,380.9246,515.47
Equity Value (M)48,969.9851,236.3853,587.68
Shares Outstanding (M)313.13313.13313.13
Fair Value$156.39$163.63$171.14
Upside / Downside-31.85%-28.70%-25.42%

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