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PIMCO Income Strategy Fund (PFL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.17 - $20.40$17.21
Multi-Stage$24.77 - $27.10$25.91
Blended Fair Value$21.56
Current Price$8.34
Upside158.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.78%0.00%0.900.800.750.740.750.680.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.23%6.22%1.41%-0.91%10.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.75%9.79%9.19%8.25%6.00%6.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)86.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.2810.806.48
Cash Retained (M)13.3313.3313.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.28-10.80-6.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.952.536.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.0743.0743.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.090.060.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.701.701.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.090.060.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.761.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.17$17.21$20.40
Upside / Downside69.92%106.34%144.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)86.4085.5384.6883.8382.9982.1684.63
Payout Ratio84.57%85.65%86.74%87.83%88.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.0673.2673.4573.6373.7973.9578.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)66.4767.1567.83
Year 2 PV (M)60.4761.7162.96
Year 3 PV (M)55.0056.7058.44
Year 4 PV (M)50.0252.0954.22
Year 5 PV (M)45.4847.8450.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)789.47830.58873.39
Equity Value (M)1,066.911,116.081,167.15
Shares Outstanding (M)43.0743.0743.07
Fair Value$24.77$25.91$27.10
Upside / Downside197.03%210.72%224.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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