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Kforce Inc. (KFRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.22 - $27.10$22.45
Multi-Stage$28.52 - $31.20$29.83
Blended Fair Value$26.14
Current Price$29.98
Upside-12.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.20%8.25%1.531.501.301.090.910.900.810.660.680.68
YoY Growth--2.45%14.71%19.42%19.85%1.08%11.68%22.46%-2.43%-0.78%-1.81%
Dividend Yield--3.13%2.14%2.06%1.48%1.70%3.52%2.26%2.44%2.84%3.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.145.093.05
Cash Retained (M)12.9912.9912.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.14-5.09-3.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.857.909.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.4318.4318.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.430.54
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.430.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.771.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Fair Value$18.22$22.45$27.10
Upside / Downside-39.24%-25.12%-9.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.7240.9041.0941.2741.4541.6442.89
Payout Ratio68.10%72.48%76.86%81.24%85.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7329.6531.5833.5335.4937.4839.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)26.9027.1827.45
Year 2 PV (M)26.0126.5327.06
Year 3 PV (M)25.0625.8226.60
Year 4 PV (M)24.0725.0526.07
Year 5 PV (M)23.0624.2525.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)400.40420.94442.31
Equity Value (M)525.50549.77574.97
Shares Outstanding (M)18.4318.4318.43
Fair Value$28.52$29.83$31.20
Upside / Downside-4.88%-0.49%4.07%

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