Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Infineon Technologies AG (IFX.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.73 - $45.57$26.85
Multi-Stage$12.55 - $13.69$13.11
Blended Fair Value$19.98
Current Price$33.20
Upside-39.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.25%8.46%0.350.350.320.270.220.260.230.220.190.17
YoY Growth---0.22%9.35%18.80%22.73%-14.88%10.16%7.77%14.11%10.22%11.39%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.11%0.84%0.94%0.54%0.82%1.15%1.25%0.82%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,014.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)455.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)559.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)202.80126.7576.05
Cash Retained (M)559.00559.00559.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-202.80-126.75-76.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)356.20432.25482.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,307.001,307.001,307.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.330.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.330.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.73$26.85$45.57
Upside / Downside-46.59%-19.13%37.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,014.001,079.911,150.101,224.861,304.481,389.271,430.95
Payout Ratio44.87%53.90%62.92%71.95%80.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)455.00582.04723.68881.271,056.291,250.341,323.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)528.04533.04538.05
Year 2 PV (M)595.61606.96618.41
Year 3 PV (M)658.01676.90696.15
Year 4 PV (M)715.51743.03771.33
Year 5 PV (M)768.37805.48844.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,134.5913,769.0014,427.68
Equity Value (M)16,400.1417,134.4217,895.64
Shares Outstanding (M)1,307.001,307.001,307.00
Fair Value$12.55$13.11$13.69
Upside / Downside-62.21%-60.51%-58.76%

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