Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dpmmetals Cdi 1:1 [dpm] (DPM.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.23 - $21.58$17.68
Multi-Stage$17.61 - $19.31$18.45
Blended Fair Value$18.07
Current Price$22.36
Upside-19.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.160.150.120.070.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---4.13%5.45%29.19%60.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.76%0.76%0.70%0.49%0.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)303.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60.6737.9222.75
Cash Retained (M)275.64275.64275.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-60.67-37.92-22.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)214.97237.72252.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)191.71191.71191.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.241.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.241.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate0.94%1.94%2.94%
Fair Value$14.23$17.68$21.58
Upside / Downside-36.37%-20.91%-3.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)303.35309.24315.24321.36327.60333.96343.97
Payout Ratio9.14%25.31%41.48%57.65%73.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7178.26130.77185.28241.86300.56318.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate0.94%1.94%2.94%
Year 1 PV (M)70.5071.2071.90
Year 2 PV (M)106.11108.22110.36
Year 3 PV (M)135.43139.50143.64
Year 4 PV (M)159.25165.66172.26
Year 5 PV (M)178.28187.29196.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,726.462,864.223,007.48
Equity Value (M)3,376.043,536.083,702.29
Shares Outstanding (M)191.71191.71191.71
Fair Value$17.61$18.45$19.31
Upside / Downside-21.24%-17.51%-13.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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