Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco Mercantil de Investimentos S.A. (BMIN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.79 - $331.70$105.11
Multi-Stage$33.46 - $36.58$34.99
Blended Fair Value$70.05
Current Price$17.02
Upside311.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.48%0.00%1.261.400.110.240.170.210.150.770.140.34
YoY Growth---10.07%1,206.38%-55.47%39.38%-16.62%42.51%-81.19%435.34%-57.30%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.50%9.56%0.91%1.47%1.08%1.42%0.79%6.42%0.44%1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.611.010.60
Cash Retained (M)5.775.775.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.61-1.01-0.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.164.765.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.834.834.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.860.991.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.860.991.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.79$105.11$331.70
Upside / Downside233.67%517.55%1,848.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.058.579.139.7210.3511.0311.36
Payout Ratio28.32%40.65%52.99%65.33%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.283.484.846.358.049.9210.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.203.233.26
Year 2 PV (M)4.074.154.23
Year 3 PV (M)4.905.045.19
Year 4 PV (M)5.705.916.14
Year 5 PV (M)6.456.767.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)137.13143.75150.63
Equity Value (M)161.44168.84176.52
Shares Outstanding (M)4.834.834.83
Fair Value$33.46$34.99$36.58
Upside / Downside96.58%105.59%114.94%

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