Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fuji Die Co.,Ltd. (6167.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$188.03 - $280.53$232.02
Multi-Stage$358.10 - $392.89$375.16
Blended Fair Value$303.59
Current Price$725.00
Upside-58.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.72%11.63%31.8731.8721.8721.8724.0824.1323.0822.1222.1219.31
YoY Growth--0.00%45.75%0.00%-9.19%-0.21%4.58%4.32%0.00%14.58%81.99%
Dividend Yield--4.40%3.71%3.29%3.39%3.79%3.68%3.78%2.59%2.96%3.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)455.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)138.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)91.0056.8834.13
Cash Retained (M)138.00138.00138.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-91.00-56.88-34.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.0081.13103.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.364.085.22
LTM Dividend per Share15.9415.9415.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.364.085.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.3020.0221.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Fair Value$188.03$232.02$280.53
Upside / Downside-74.07%-68.00%-61.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)455.00451.40447.84444.30440.79437.30450.42
Payout Ratio69.67%73.74%77.80%81.87%85.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.00332.85348.43363.74378.79393.57416.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)305.74308.86311.97
Year 2 PV (M)293.99300.01306.08
Year 3 PV (M)281.91290.61299.49
Year 4 PV (M)269.67280.82292.32
Year 5 PV (M)257.38270.75284.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,714.226,011.136,320.25
Equity Value (M)7,122.927,462.187,814.78
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
Fair Value$358.10$375.16$392.89
Upside / Downside-50.61%-48.25%-45.81%

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