Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wasion Holdings Limited (3393.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$247.66 - $291.78$273.44
Multi-Stage$163.57 - $179.53$171.40
Blended Fair Value$222.42
Current Price$7.61
Upside2,822.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.78%4.88%0.260.210.170.170.180.220.200.210.210.19
YoY Growth--23.27%22.39%2.22%-8.50%-18.73%9.45%-0.75%-1.00%7.50%21.43%
Dividend Yield--3.83%5.92%7.40%5.97%9.48%6.59%6.12%6.48%5.58%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,452.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,195.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290.54181.58108.95
Cash Retained (M)1,195.861,195.861,195.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-290.54-181.58-108.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)905.331,014.281,086.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)990.13990.13990.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.36
WACC / Discount Rate2.86%2.86%2.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$247.66$273.44$291.78
Upside / Downside3,154.36%3,493.19%3,734.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,452.681,547.101,647.661,754.761,868.821,990.302,050.01
Payout Ratio17.68%32.14%46.61%61.07%75.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.82497.29767.931,071.661,411.631,791.271,896.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.86%2.86%2.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)478.93483.47488.01
Year 2 PV (M)712.27725.84739.54
Year 3 PV (M)957.29984.771,012.77
Year 4 PV (M)1,214.421,261.121,309.16
Year 5 PV (M)1,484.121,555.811,630.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)157,111.07164,699.59172,578.54
Equity Value (M)161,958.10169,710.60177,758.26
Shares Outstanding (M)990.13990.13990.13
Fair Value$163.57$171.40$179.53
Upside / Downside2,049.44%2,152.33%2,259.14%

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