Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Transmetro Corporation Limited (TCO.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.32 - $5.16$4.17
Multi-Stage$7.67 - $8.45$8.05
Blended Fair Value$6.11
Current Price$1.86
Upside228.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.000.000.000.000.100.050.050.05
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--5.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.05%4.47%4.74%4.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.970.610.36
Cash Retained (M)3.513.513.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.97-0.61-0.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.542.903.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.8513.8513.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.32$4.17$5.16
Upside / Downside78.38%124.19%177.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.854.804.754.704.664.614.75
Payout Ratio27.59%40.07%52.56%65.04%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.341.922.503.063.614.154.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.791.811.83
Year 2 PV (M)2.172.212.26
Year 3 PV (M)2.472.552.63
Year 4 PV (M)2.722.832.95
Year 5 PV (M)2.913.063.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)94.0998.99104.09
Equity Value (M)106.15111.45116.97
Shares Outstanding (M)13.8513.8513.85
Fair Value$7.67$8.05$8.45
Upside / Downside312.11%332.69%354.11%

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