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Signify N.V. (LIGHT.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.67 - $41.00$32.63
Multi-Stage$52.68 - $57.86$55.22
Blended Fair Value$43.92
Current Price$22.30
Upside96.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.15%1.00%1.761.671.482.750.141.301.361.260.084.98
YoY Growth--5.24%12.90%-46.24%1,935.29%-89.63%-4.09%8.23%1,480.00%-98.40%213.00%
Dividend Yield--8.81%5.89%4.83%6.48%0.31%7.37%5.55%4.12%0.30%22.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)312.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.4039.0023.40
Cash Retained (M)94.0094.0094.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.40-39.00-23.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.6055.0070.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)125.80125.80125.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.440.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.440.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.982.172.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-1.00%0.00%1.00%
Fair Value$25.67$32.63$41.00
Upside / Downside15.13%46.32%83.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)312.00312.01312.02312.03312.04312.05321.42
Payout Ratio69.87%73.90%77.92%81.95%85.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.00230.57243.14255.71268.28280.85297.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-1.00%0.00%1.00%
Year 1 PV (M)214.02216.18218.34
Year 2 PV (M)209.49213.74218.04
Year 3 PV (M)204.51210.77217.15
Year 4 PV (M)199.16207.33215.75
Year 5 PV (M)193.53203.51213.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,606.095,895.006,195.69
Equity Value (M)6,626.806,946.537,278.86
Shares Outstanding (M)125.80125.80125.80
Fair Value$52.68$55.22$57.86
Upside / Downside136.22%147.62%159.46%

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